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Politics·Taiwan

Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner

Lin Kuo-chang 56%

Wu Tsung-hsien 37%

Chen Wan-hui 5%

Chang Sheng-te 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Lin Kuo-chang 56%

Wu Tsung-hsien 37%

Chen Wan-hui 5%

Chang Sheng-te 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Lin Kuo-chang

Lin Kuo-chang

$1,168 Vol.

56%

icon for Wu Tsung-hsien

Wu Tsung-hsien

$1,359 Vol.

37%

icon for Chen Wan-hui

Chen Wan-hui

$333 Vol.

5%

icon for Chang Sheng-te

Chang Sheng-te

$262 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).DPP nominee Lin Kuo-chang holds a modest lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate contest, reflecting early polling edges and party organizational strength in a historically competitive county. KMT nominee Wu Tsung-hsien trails but remains within striking distance after joint KMT-TPP surveys in May positioned him as the opposition standard-bearer, narrowing the gap in head-to-head matchups. TPP candidate Chen Wan-hui registers far lower odds, consistent with limited standalone support in recent surveys. The tight spread among frontrunners stems from Yilan’s mixed voting patterns, where small shifts in turnout or cross-party coordination can alter outcomes. Upcoming candidate debates, final registration deadlines, and any late polling swings before election day represent the clearest catalysts that could widen or close the current implied probabilities.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,122
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).DPP nominee Lin Kuo-chang holds a modest lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate contest, reflecting early polling edges and party organizational strength in a historically competitive county. KMT nominee Wu Tsung-hsien trails but remains within striking distance after joint KMT-TPP surveys in May positioned him as the opposition standard-bearer, narrowing the gap in head-to-head matchups. TPP candidate Chen Wan-hui registers far lower odds, consistent with limited standalone support in recent surveys. The tight spread among frontrunners stems from Yilan’s mixed voting patterns, where small shifts in turnout or cross-party coordination can alter outcomes. Upcoming candidate debates, final registration deadlines, and any late polling swings before election day represent the clearest catalysts that could widen or close the current implied probabilities.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,122
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lin Kuo-chang" at 56%, followed by "Wu Tsung-hsien" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Lin Kuo-chang" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wu Tsung-hsien" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.