Russia’s State Duma elections, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, occur under a tightly managed system where the Kremlin-aligned United Russia party maintains structural advantages through party-list proportional representation (5% threshold) and single-mandate districts. The four other established “systemic” parties—CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia–For Truth, and New People—have secured ballot access and routinely clear the threshold in prior cycles, positioning them to retain seats via combined voting methods. Yabloko’s federal list was disqualified by the Supreme Court in August, limiting its prospects to isolated single-mandate races. Recent developments include United Russia’s June congress featuring high-profile candidates, expanded multi-day and electronic voting, and ongoing candidate registration favoring incumbents and war veterans. These factors reinforce trader expectations that only the core parliamentary parties will secure representation, with minimal scope for newcomers absent major last-minute shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 20, 2026
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
82%
Rodina
86%
Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
3%
Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
2%
$5,216 Vol.
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$1,429 Vol.
82%
Rodina
$960 Vol.
86%
Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
$710 Vol.
3%
Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
$2,117 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s State Duma elections, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, occur under a tightly managed system where the Kremlin-aligned United Russia party maintains structural advantages through party-list proportional representation (5% threshold) and single-mandate districts. The four other established “systemic” parties—CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia–For Truth, and New People—have secured ballot access and routinely clear the threshold in prior cycles, positioning them to retain seats via combined voting methods. Yabloko’s federal list was disqualified by the Supreme Court in August, limiting its prospects to isolated single-mandate races. Recent developments include United Russia’s June congress featuring high-profile candidates, expanded multi-day and electronic voting, and ongoing candidate registration favoring incumbents and war veterans. These factors reinforce trader expectations that only the core parliamentary parties will secure representation, with minimal scope for newcomers absent major last-minute shifts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Volume
$5,216End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s State Duma elections, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, occur under a tightly managed system where the Kremlin-aligned United Russia party maintains structural advantages through party-list proportional representation (5% threshold) and single-mandate districts. The four other established “systemic” parties—CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia–For Truth, and New People—have secured ballot access and routinely clear the threshold in prior cycles, positioning them to retain seats via combined voting methods. Yabloko’s federal list was disqualified by the Supreme Court in August, limiting its prospects to isolated single-mandate races. Recent developments include United Russia’s June congress featuring high-profile candidates, expanded multi-day and electronic voting, and ongoing candidate registration favoring incumbents and war veterans. These factors reinforce trader expectations that only the core parliamentary parties will secure representation, with minimal scope for newcomers absent major last-minute shifts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$5,216End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia’s State Duma elections, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, occur under a tightly managed system where the Kremlin-aligned United Russia party maintains structural advantages through party-list proportional representation (5% threshold) and single-mandate districts. The four other established “systemic” parties—CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia–For Truth, and New People—have secured ballot access and routinely clear the threshold in prior cycles, positioning them to retain seats via combined voting methods. Yabloko’s federal list was disqualified by the Supreme Court in August, limiting its prospects to isolated single-mandate races. Recent developments include United Russia’s June congress featuring high-profile candidates, expanded multi-day and electronic voting, and ongoing candidate registration favoring incumbents and war veterans. These factors reinforce trader expectations that only the core parliamentary parties will secure representation, with minimal scope for newcomers absent major last-minute shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions