SNSD holds the strongest position for second place in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s 4 October parliamentary election for the state House of Representatives, reflecting its consolidated support across Republika Srpska’s 14 allocated seats. Recent entity-level polling and statements from party leader Milorad Dodik project SNSD securing around 35 mandates in the RS National Assembly, with coalition partners approaching a two-thirds majority. This entity strength contrasts with a more fragmented field in the Federation, where SDA, SDP BiH, HDZ BiH, and DF compete for the larger share of seats. Low implied probabilities for opposition RS parties such as SDS and DF, alongside FBiH-based groups, stem from SNSD’s incumbency advantages and unified voter base ahead of the vote. Trader consensus assigns limited upside to alternatives absent major late shifts in turnout or alliances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
SNSD 74%
HDZ BiH 14.1%
DF 11.8%
SDA 8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
SNSD
74%
HDZ BiH
14%
DF
12%
SDA
8%
SDP BiH
4%
NiP
4%
SDS
9%
SNSD 74%
HDZ BiH 14.1%
DF 11.8%
SDA 8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
SNSD
$4,766 Vol.
74%
HDZ BiH
$118 Vol.
14%
DF
$92 Vol.
12%
SDA
$443 Vol.
8%
SDP BiH
$772 Vol.
4%
NiP
$758 Vol.
4%
SDS
$148 Vol.
9%
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).SNSD holds the strongest position for second place in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s 4 October parliamentary election for the state House of Representatives, reflecting its consolidated support across Republika Srpska’s 14 allocated seats. Recent entity-level polling and statements from party leader Milorad Dodik project SNSD securing around 35 mandates in the RS National Assembly, with coalition partners approaching a two-thirds majority. This entity strength contrasts with a more fragmented field in the Federation, where SDA, SDP BiH, HDZ BiH, and DF compete for the larger share of seats. Low implied probabilities for opposition RS parties such as SDS and DF, alongside FBiH-based groups, stem from SNSD’s incumbency advantages and unified voter base ahead of the vote. Trader consensus assigns limited upside to alternatives absent major late shifts in turnout or alliances.
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volume
$7,097End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).SNSD holds the strongest position for second place in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s 4 October parliamentary election for the state House of Representatives, reflecting its consolidated support across Republika Srpska’s 14 allocated seats. Recent entity-level polling and statements from party leader Milorad Dodik project SNSD securing around 35 mandates in the RS National Assembly, with coalition partners approaching a two-thirds majority. This entity strength contrasts with a more fragmented field in the Federation, where SDA, SDP BiH, HDZ BiH, and DF compete for the larger share of seats. Low implied probabilities for opposition RS parties such as SDS and DF, alongside FBiH-based groups, stem from SNSD’s incumbency advantages and unified voter base ahead of the vote. Trader consensus assigns limited upside to alternatives absent major late shifts in turnout or alliances.
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Volume
$7,097End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SNSD holds the strongest position for second place in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s 4 October parliamentary election for the state House of Representatives, reflecting its consolidated support across Republika Srpska’s 14 allocated seats. Recent entity-level polling and statements from party leader Milorad Dodik project SNSD securing around 35 mandates in the RS National Assembly, with coalition partners approaching a two-thirds majority. This entity strength contrasts with a more fragmented field in the Federation, where SDA, SDP BiH, HDZ BiH, and DF compete for the larger share of seats. Low implied probabilities for opposition RS parties such as SDS and DF, alongside FBiH-based groups, stem from SNSD’s incumbency advantages and unified voter base ahead of the vote. Trader consensus assigns limited upside to alternatives absent major late shifts in turnout or alliances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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