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icon for Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
World·Main Election

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

icon for Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
World·Main Election

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

SDP BiH 35%

SNSD 31%

DF 16%

HDZ BiH 12%

Polymarket
NEW

SDP BiH 35%

SNSD 31%

DF 16%

HDZ BiH 12%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for SDP BiH

SDP BiH

$496 Vol.

37%

icon for SNSD

SNSD

$485 Vol.

38%

icon for DF

DF

$124 Vol.

16%

icon for HDZ BiH

HDZ BiH

$75 Vol.

20%

icon for NiP

NiP

$99 Vol.

7%

icon for SDA

SDA

$635 Vol.

5%

icon for SDS

SDS

$235 Vol.

1%

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).**Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4 general election for the 42-seat national House of Representatives features a tight contest for third place driven by entity-level vote splits and compensatory mandates under proportional representation.** SNSD, dominant in Republika Srpska, and SDP BiH, competitive in the Federation, sit closest in trader pricing amid recent polling showing SDA and SNSD leading overall popular support while SDP, HDZ BiH, and DF trail. Late-campaign factors include Central Election Commission fines for premature activities that disproportionately affected SNSD, ongoing coalition maneuvering ahead of post-election government formation, and entity-specific dynamics from the earlier Republika Srpska presidential vote. With roughly two weeks remaining, shifts in Federation turnout or RS consolidation could separate the contenders for third, as historical patterns show small vote swings reallocating compensatory seats across the 12 constituencies.

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Volume
$2,150
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).**Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4 general election for the 42-seat national House of Representatives features a tight contest for third place driven by entity-level vote splits and compensatory mandates under proportional representation.** SNSD, dominant in Republika Srpska, and SDP BiH, competitive in the Federation, sit closest in trader pricing amid recent polling showing SDA and SNSD leading overall popular support while SDP, HDZ BiH, and DF trail. Late-campaign factors include Central Election Commission fines for premature activities that disproportionately affected SNSD, ongoing coalition maneuvering ahead of post-election government formation, and entity-specific dynamics from the earlier Republika Srpska presidential vote. With roughly two weeks remaining, shifts in Federation turnout or RS consolidation could separate the contenders for third, as historical patterns show small vote swings reallocating compensatory seats across the 12 constituencies.

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Volume
$2,150
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "SNSD" at 38%, followed by "SDP BiH" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" is "SNSD" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "SDP BiH" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.