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icon for Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner
World·Main Election

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner

icon for Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner
World·Main Election

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner

SDA 78%

DF 4.8%

NiP 4.7%

SDS 4.5%

Polymarket
NEW

SDA 78%

DF 4.8%

NiP 4.7%

SDS 4.5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for SDA

SDA

$2,524 Vol.

78%

icon for DF

DF

$292 Vol.

5%

icon for NiP

NiP

$214 Vol.

5%

icon for SDS

SDS

$185 Vol.

4%

icon for SNSD

SNSD

$725 Vol.

4%

icon for HDZ BiH

HDZ BiH

$167 Vol.

7%

icon for SDP BiH

SDP BiH

$453 Vol.

1%

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).SDA maintains a commanding lead in recent pre-election surveys and seat projections for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s 4 October general election, reflecting its established base among Bosniak voters in the Federation and positioning it ahead of rivals for the largest share of House of Representatives seats. SNSD, SDS, and other Republika Srpska parties retain localized strength but trail nationally, while HDZ BiH, DF, NiP, and SDP BiH show more modest support levels consistent with fragmented opposition dynamics. Recent Central Election Commission penalties for premature campaigning and the rollout of biometric voter verification and electronic counting have introduced procedural scrutiny without materially altering polling trends. Coalition negotiations after results will determine government formation under the country’s ethnic and entity representation rules.

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Volume
$4,559
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).SDA maintains a commanding lead in recent pre-election surveys and seat projections for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s 4 October general election, reflecting its established base among Bosniak voters in the Federation and positioning it ahead of rivals for the largest share of House of Representatives seats. SNSD, SDS, and other Republika Srpska parties retain localized strength but trail nationally, while HDZ BiH, DF, NiP, and SDP BiH show more modest support levels consistent with fragmented opposition dynamics. Recent Central Election Commission penalties for premature campaigning and the rollout of biometric voter verification and electronic counting have introduced procedural scrutiny without materially altering polling trends. Coalition negotiations after results will determine government formation under the country’s ethnic and entity representation rules.

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Volume
$4,559
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "SDA" at 78%, followed by "HDZ BiH" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner" is "SDA" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "HDZ BiH" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.