Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented contest among the outgoing RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition and opposition lists, with seat projections showing RNI and PAM competing closely for first while Istiqlal (PI) holds the strongest positioning for third. Economic pressures, youth discontent from prior protests, and low institutional trust have eroded support for the governing parties, diffusing votes across lists and sustaining tight trader pricing near even odds for the leading third-place contenders. PI benefits from established rural and regional networks plus recent polling leads in some surveys, yet faces competition from a potential PJD rebound under Benkirane and smaller parties such as USFP. High undecided shares and expected turnout below 50 percent continue to limit separation in implied probabilities ahead of final campaign events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPI 48%
RNI 27%
USFP 9.8%
PJD 9.2%
$41,580 Vol.
$41,580 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
PI
48%
RNI
27%
USFP
10%
PJD
9%
PAM
1%
UC
<1%
MP
<1%
PPS
<1%
PI 48%
RNI 27%
USFP 9.8%
PJD 9.2%
$41,580 Vol.
$41,580 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
PI
$20,279 Vol.
48%
RNI
$15,841 Vol.
27%
USFP
$1,127 Vol.
10%
PJD
$1,104 Vol.
9%
PAM
$1,565 Vol.
1%
UC
$546 Vol.
<1%
MP
$580 Vol.
<1%
PPS
$537 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented contest among the outgoing RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition and opposition lists, with seat projections showing RNI and PAM competing closely for first while Istiqlal (PI) holds the strongest positioning for third. Economic pressures, youth discontent from prior protests, and low institutional trust have eroded support for the governing parties, diffusing votes across lists and sustaining tight trader pricing near even odds for the leading third-place contenders. PI benefits from established rural and regional networks plus recent polling leads in some surveys, yet faces competition from a potential PJD rebound under Benkirane and smaller parties such as USFP. High undecided shares and expected turnout below 50 percent continue to limit separation in implied probabilities ahead of final campaign events.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$41,580End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented contest among the outgoing RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition and opposition lists, with seat projections showing RNI and PAM competing closely for first while Istiqlal (PI) holds the strongest positioning for third. Economic pressures, youth discontent from prior protests, and low institutional trust have eroded support for the governing parties, diffusing votes across lists and sustaining tight trader pricing near even odds for the leading third-place contenders. PI benefits from established rural and regional networks plus recent polling leads in some surveys, yet faces competition from a potential PJD rebound under Benkirane and smaller parties such as USFP. High undecided shares and expected turnout below 50 percent continue to limit separation in implied probabilities ahead of final campaign events.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$41,580End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented contest among the outgoing RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition and opposition lists, with seat projections showing RNI and PAM competing closely for first while Istiqlal (PI) holds the strongest positioning for third. Economic pressures, youth discontent from prior protests, and low institutional trust have eroded support for the governing parties, diffusing votes across lists and sustaining tight trader pricing near even odds for the leading third-place contenders. PI benefits from established rural and regional networks plus recent polling leads in some surveys, yet faces competition from a potential PJD rebound under Benkirane and smaller parties such as USFP. High undecided shares and expected turnout below 50 percent continue to limit separation in implied probabilities ahead of final campaign events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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