South Carolina's solidly Republican electorate and Lindsey Graham's long incumbency as the senior senator continue to anchor trader expectations for a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. The June 9 primaries reinforced this positioning: Graham secured the Republican nomination with 56.8 percent despite primary challengers, while pediatrician Annie Andrews won the Democratic nod with 61.5 percent. South Carolina's consistent support for Republican Senate candidates in recent cycles, combined with the state's partisan voting patterns and Graham's established fundraising and name recognition, has kept implied probabilities for a Republican winner above 80 percent. No major shifts in polling aggregates or candidate positioning have altered this dynamic in the past week.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$38,443 KL.
$38,443 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
83%
Democrat
19%
$38,443 KL.
$38,443 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$16,259 KL.
83%
Democrat
$22,184 KL.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's solidly Republican electorate and Lindsey Graham's long incumbency as the senior senator continue to anchor trader expectations for a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. The June 9 primaries reinforced this positioning: Graham secured the Republican nomination with 56.8 percent despite primary challengers, while pediatrician Annie Andrews won the Democratic nod with 61.5 percent. South Carolina's consistent support for Republican Senate candidates in recent cycles, combined with the state's partisan voting patterns and Graham's established fundraising and name recognition, has kept implied probabilities for a Republican winner above 80 percent. No major shifts in polling aggregates or candidate positioning have altered this dynamic in the past week.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$38,443Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's solidly Republican electorate and Lindsey Graham's long incumbency as the senior senator continue to anchor trader expectations for a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. The June 9 primaries reinforced this positioning: Graham secured the Republican nomination with 56.8 percent despite primary challengers, while pediatrician Annie Andrews won the Democratic nod with 61.5 percent. South Carolina's consistent support for Republican Senate candidates in recent cycles, combined with the state's partisan voting patterns and Graham's established fundraising and name recognition, has kept implied probabilities for a Republican winner above 80 percent. No major shifts in polling aggregates or candidate positioning have altered this dynamic in the past week.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$38,443Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's solidly Republican electorate and Lindsey Graham's long incumbency as the senior senator continue to anchor trader expectations for a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. The June 9 primaries reinforced this positioning: Graham secured the Republican nomination with 56.8 percent despite primary challengers, while pediatrician Annie Andrews won the Democratic nod with 61.5 percent. South Carolina's consistent support for Republican Senate candidates in recent cycles, combined with the state's partisan voting patterns and Graham's established fundraising and name recognition, has kept implied probabilities for a Republican winner above 80 percent. No major shifts in polling aggregates or candidate positioning have altered this dynamic in the past week.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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