Recent polling in the South Carolina Senate contest between Republican Darline Graham and Democrat Annie Andrews shows a narrow margin of roughly 1-3 points, with the latest Trafalgar and InsiderAdvantage surveys placing the race within a few points amid high undecided shares. In contrast, Florida’s special election between Republican Ashley Moody and Democrat Angie Nixon registers a wider average lead of about 5-6 points for the Republican across multiple surveys, despite isolated results showing a statistical tie. These differences in current margins, combined with South Carolina’s more competitive recent data and the state’s underlying partisan baseline, drive trader consensus that the Palmetto State race will finish closer on Election Day.