PAM leads the trader consensus for Morocco’s September 23, 2026, House of Representatives election at 75% implied probability, reflecting its recent campaign momentum and high-profile recruitment of figures such as Fouzi Lekjaa ahead of the vote. The ruling coalition’s other major partners, RNI and Istiqlal, trail significantly in market pricing despite RNI’s 2021 seat plurality, amid leadership transitions and internal coalition tensions. PJD sits at 16% as it attempts an organizational recovery under Abdelilah Benkirane after its sharp 2021 decline, while smaller parties remain near single digits. Analysts note a tight projected contest between RNI and PAM for the most seats under the proportional list system, with no party expected to approach a majority and coalition formation likely to follow. Recent candidate list finalization and platform emphasis on social protections and investment have shaped positioning in the final days before polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPAM 74%
RNI 15.3%
PJD 5.8%
PI 1.5%
$55,981 Vol.
$55,981 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
PAM
74%
RNI
15%
PJD
7%
PI
2%
MP
<1%
PPS
<1%
USFP
<1%
UC
<1%
PAM 74%
RNI 15.3%
PJD 5.8%
PI 1.5%
$55,981 Vol.
$55,981 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
PAM
$14,419 Vol.
74%
RNI
$23,716 Vol.
15%
PJD
$3,097 Vol.
7%
PI
$10,158 Vol.
2%
MP
$1,383 Vol.
<1%
PPS
$1,119 Vol.
<1%
USFP
$1,081 Vol.
<1%
UC
$1,008 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.PAM leads the trader consensus for Morocco’s September 23, 2026, House of Representatives election at 75% implied probability, reflecting its recent campaign momentum and high-profile recruitment of figures such as Fouzi Lekjaa ahead of the vote. The ruling coalition’s other major partners, RNI and Istiqlal, trail significantly in market pricing despite RNI’s 2021 seat plurality, amid leadership transitions and internal coalition tensions. PJD sits at 16% as it attempts an organizational recovery under Abdelilah Benkirane after its sharp 2021 decline, while smaller parties remain near single digits. Analysts note a tight projected contest between RNI and PAM for the most seats under the proportional list system, with no party expected to approach a majority and coalition formation likely to follow. Recent candidate list finalization and platform emphasis on social protections and investment have shaped positioning in the final days before polling.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$55,981End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.PAM leads the trader consensus for Morocco’s September 23, 2026, House of Representatives election at 75% implied probability, reflecting its recent campaign momentum and high-profile recruitment of figures such as Fouzi Lekjaa ahead of the vote. The ruling coalition’s other major partners, RNI and Istiqlal, trail significantly in market pricing despite RNI’s 2021 seat plurality, amid leadership transitions and internal coalition tensions. PJD sits at 16% as it attempts an organizational recovery under Abdelilah Benkirane after its sharp 2021 decline, while smaller parties remain near single digits. Analysts note a tight projected contest between RNI and PAM for the most seats under the proportional list system, with no party expected to approach a majority and coalition formation likely to follow. Recent candidate list finalization and platform emphasis on social protections and investment have shaped positioning in the final days before polling.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$55,981End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAM leads the trader consensus for Morocco’s September 23, 2026, House of Representatives election at 75% implied probability, reflecting its recent campaign momentum and high-profile recruitment of figures such as Fouzi Lekjaa ahead of the vote. The ruling coalition’s other major partners, RNI and Istiqlal, trail significantly in market pricing despite RNI’s 2021 seat plurality, amid leadership transitions and internal coalition tensions. PJD sits at 16% as it attempts an organizational recovery under Abdelilah Benkirane after its sharp 2021 decline, while smaller parties remain near single digits. Analysts note a tight projected contest between RNI and PAM for the most seats under the proportional list system, with no party expected to approach a majority and coalition formation likely to follow. Recent candidate list finalization and platform emphasis on social protections and investment have shaped positioning in the final days before polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions