Recent polls for Latvia's October 3 Saeima election show a fragmented field, with Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holding a narrow lead in voting intentions around 18-19%, followed closely by SV, LPV, and PRO in the 13-17% range. Trader consensus on second place remains tight because support levels for these parties fluctuate across surveys from SKDS and others, with no single contender consistently ahead of the pack and several hovering near or above the 5% threshold. Recent gains for SV and shifts away from LPV have kept probabilities clustered among the top four, while lower-polling groups like NA, ZZS, and PRO face structural barriers to overtaking. Scheduled campaign developments through September could widen gaps ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAS 38%
SV 34%
LPV 23%
PRO 6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 3, 2026
AS
38%
SV
34%
LPV
23%
PRO
6%
NA
2%
JV
2%
MMN
1%
ZZS
1%
GS
1%
ST!
1%
SC
1%
ASL
<1%
JKP
<1%
LA
<1%
AS 38%
SV 34%
LPV 23%
PRO 6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 3, 2026
AS
$433 Vol.
38%
SV
$996 Vol.
34%
LPV
$648 Vol.
23%
PRO
$198 Vol.
6%
NA
$144 Vol.
2%
JV
$182 Vol.
2%
MMN
$144 Vol.
1%
ZZS
$139 Vol.
1%
GS
$133 Vol.
1%
ST!
$314 Vol.
1%
SC
$103 Vol.
1%
ASL
$169 Vol.
<1%
JKP
$173 Vol.
<1%
LA
$331 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polls for Latvia's October 3 Saeima election show a fragmented field, with Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holding a narrow lead in voting intentions around 18-19%, followed closely by SV, LPV, and PRO in the 13-17% range. Trader consensus on second place remains tight because support levels for these parties fluctuate across surveys from SKDS and others, with no single contender consistently ahead of the pack and several hovering near or above the 5% threshold. Recent gains for SV and shifts away from LPV have kept probabilities clustered among the top four, while lower-polling groups like NA, ZZS, and PRO face structural barriers to overtaking. Scheduled campaign developments through September could widen gaps ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Volume
$4,095End Date
Oct 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.cvk.lv/lvResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polls for Latvia's October 3 Saeima election show a fragmented field, with Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holding a narrow lead in voting intentions around 18-19%, followed closely by SV, LPV, and PRO in the 13-17% range. Trader consensus on second place remains tight because support levels for these parties fluctuate across surveys from SKDS and others, with no single contender consistently ahead of the pack and several hovering near or above the 5% threshold. Recent gains for SV and shifts away from LPV have kept probabilities clustered among the top four, while lower-polling groups like NA, ZZS, and PRO face structural barriers to overtaking. Scheduled campaign developments through September could widen gaps ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Volume
$4,095End Date
Oct 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.cvk.lv/lvResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Latvia's October 3 Saeima election show a fragmented field, with Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holding a narrow lead in voting intentions around 18-19%, followed closely by SV, LPV, and PRO in the 13-17% range. Trader consensus on second place remains tight because support levels for these parties fluctuate across surveys from SKDS and others, with no single contender consistently ahead of the pack and several hovering near or above the 5% threshold. Recent gains for SV and shifts away from LPV have kept probabilities clustered among the top four, while lower-polling groups like NA, ZZS, and PRO face structural barriers to overtaking. Scheduled campaign developments through September could widen gaps ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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