Recent polling trends ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead as the largest party at 32–34 percent, while the Sweden Democrats hold a narrow edge over the Moderates for second place at roughly 19–20 percent versus 17–19 percent across multiple firms. This positioning reflects the Sweden Democrats’ sustained support within the right-leaning Tidö bloc and voter priorities on immigration and security, alongside the Moderates’ challenges as the leading government party amid declining bloc numbers. Traders price the Sweden Democrats highest for second place because consistent survey margins and limited recent shifts favor their ranking over the Moderates or smaller parties in the final months before the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Liberals (L) 5.5%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 3.4%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
3%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
53%

Moderate Party (M)
31%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
2%

Liberals (L)
5%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Liberals (L) 5.5%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 3.4%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
3%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
53%

Moderate Party (M)
31%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
2%

Liberals (L)
5%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead as the largest party at 32–34 percent, while the Sweden Democrats hold a narrow edge over the Moderates for second place at roughly 19–20 percent versus 17–19 percent across multiple firms. This positioning reflects the Sweden Democrats’ sustained support within the right-leaning Tidö bloc and voter priorities on immigration and security, alongside the Moderates’ challenges as the leading government party amid declining bloc numbers. Traders price the Sweden Democrats highest for second place because consistent survey margins and limited recent shifts favor their ranking over the Moderates or smaller parties in the final months before the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions