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icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Sweden

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Sweden

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Sweden Democrats (SD) 85%

Moderate Party (M) 15%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%

Left Party (V) <1%

Polymarket

$30,659 Vol.

Sweden Democrats (SD) 85%

Moderate Party (M) 15%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%

Left Party (V) <1%

Polymarket

$30,659 Vol.

icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$2,603 Vol.

2%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$10,244 Vol.

85%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$5,985 Vol.

15%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$2,173 Vol.

<1%

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$2,668 Vol.

<1%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$1,803 Vol.

<1%

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$1,781 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liberals (L)

Liberals (L)

$1,713 Vol.

<1%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$1,689 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden Democrats hold a strong lead in recent polling averages for second place in the September 2026 Riksdag election, consistently placing ahead of the Moderate Party at roughly 19-20% support compared with 17-18% for the Moderates. Social Democrats remain the clear frontrunner near 32-34%, while smaller parties trail further behind. This positioning reflects stable trends through mid-2026 surveys from sources including SCB and Novus, with Sweden Democrats showing modest gains or resilience amid bloc competition between the incumbent Tidö alliance and opposition Red-Greens. The Moderate Party has seen limited movement or slight declines in the same period, leaving little indication of a reversal before election day. Traders price in these sustained patterns when assessing second-place probabilities.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$30,659
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden Democrats hold a strong lead in recent polling averages for second place in the September 2026 Riksdag election, consistently placing ahead of the Moderate Party at roughly 19-20% support compared with 17-18% for the Moderates. Social Democrats remain the clear frontrunner near 32-34%, while smaller parties trail further behind. This positioning reflects stable trends through mid-2026 surveys from sources including SCB and Novus, with Sweden Democrats showing modest gains or resilience amid bloc competition between the incumbent Tidö alliance and opposition Red-Greens. The Moderate Party has seen limited movement or slight declines in the same period, leaving little indication of a reversal before election day. Traders price in these sustained patterns when assessing second-place probabilities.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$30,659
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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icon for Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sweden Democrats (SD)" at 85%, followed by "Moderate Party (M)" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" has generated $30.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" is "Sweden Democrats (SD)" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Moderate Party (M)" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.