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Politics·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Kraków Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

Łukasz Gibała 66%

Monika Piątkowska 14%

Jan Hoffman 9.0%

Rafał Komarewicz 8%

Polymarket
NEW

Łukasz Gibała 66%

Monika Piątkowska 14%

Jan Hoffman 9.0%

Rafał Komarewicz 8%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$5,973 Vol.

66%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$142 Vol.

14%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$133 Vol.

6%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$198 Vol.

8%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$171 Vol.

9%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$76 Vol.

8%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$76 Vol.

7%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$176 Vol.

6%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$174 Vol.

5%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$217 Vol.

5%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$234 Vol.

5%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$247 Vol.

5%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$367 Vol.

4%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$172 Vol.

1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$174 Vol.

1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$160 Vol.

1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$171 Vol.

1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds the strongest position in the September 27 snap election triggered by the May 2026 recall of former mayor Aleksander Miszalski, as his local independent movement and prior near-win in 2024 give him broad name recognition and a base outside national parties. Recent IBRiS polling shows him ahead of fragmented rivals, including Monika Piątkowska (backed by KO and PSL), Michał Drewnicki (PiS), Daria Gosek-Popiołek (Left), and lower-polling independents or smaller-party figures. The recall referendum, which exceeded validity thresholds with overwhelming support for removal, has amplified anti-incumbent sentiment and consolidated support around Gibała’s “Kraków for Residents” committee, while the crowded field reduces any single challenger’s path to a first-round majority. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and polling dynamics ahead of the vote.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$8,860
End Date
Sep 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds the strongest position in the September 27 snap election triggered by the May 2026 recall of former mayor Aleksander Miszalski, as his local independent movement and prior near-win in 2024 give him broad name recognition and a base outside national parties. Recent IBRiS polling shows him ahead of fragmented rivals, including Monika Piątkowska (backed by KO and PSL), Michał Drewnicki (PiS), Daria Gosek-Popiołek (Left), and lower-polling independents or smaller-party figures. The recall referendum, which exceeded validity thresholds with overwhelming support for removal, has amplified anti-incumbent sentiment and consolidated support around Gibała’s “Kraków for Residents” committee, while the crowded field reduces any single challenger’s path to a first-round majority. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and polling dynamics ahead of the vote.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$8,860
End Date
Sep 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Łukasz Gibała" at 66%, followed by "Monika Piątkowska" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" is "Łukasz Gibała" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Monika Piątkowska" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.