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icon for Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner

Dillon Roberts 18%

Leanne Raw 15%

Michael Johnstone 12%

Chloe Foster 6.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Dillon Roberts 18%

Leanne Raw 15%

Michael Johnstone 12%

Chloe Foster 6.0%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Dillon Roberts

Dillon Roberts

$766 Vol.

18%

icon for Leanne Raw

Leanne Raw

$3,905 Vol.

15%

icon for Michael Johnstone

Michael Johnstone

$1,048 Vol.

12%

icon for Chloe Foster

Chloe Foster

$1,203 Vol.

13%

icon for Mary Duniam

Mary Duniam

$717 Vol.

3%

icon for Kevin Hyland

Kevin Hyland

$864 Vol.

1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent Mayor Mary Duniam’s decision not to recontest has produced a fragmented contest ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections, with nominations opening September 7 and closing September 21. Multiple sitting councillors including Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw, and Michael Johnstone have declared interest, alongside former officeholders such as Kevin Hyland, keeping trader consensus spread across numerous candidates. Current pricing shows Dillon Roberts at 17.5% among named options, followed closely by Leanne Raw at 15.0%, Chloe Foster at 11.7%, and Michael Johnstone at 11.5%, while many other entrants sit at 50%. This structure leaves the race highly competitive until the candidate list finalizes and campaign dynamics emerge.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,503
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent Mayor Mary Duniam’s decision not to recontest has produced a fragmented contest ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections, with nominations opening September 7 and closing September 21. Multiple sitting councillors including Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw, and Michael Johnstone have declared interest, alongside former officeholders such as Kevin Hyland, keeping trader consensus spread across numerous candidates. Current pricing shows Dillon Roberts at 17.5% among named options, followed closely by Leanne Raw at 15.0%, Chloe Foster at 11.7%, and Michael Johnstone at 11.5%, while many other entrants sit at 50%. This structure leaves the race highly competitive until the candidate list finalizes and campaign dynamics emerge.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,503
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dillon Roberts" at 18%, followed by "Leanne Raw" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" is "Dillon Roberts" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Leanne Raw" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.