Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats leading with roughly 32–34 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats at 19–21 percent and the Moderate Party at 17–18 percent, with remaining parties trailing further behind. This stable ordering, consistent across multiple survey firms through late July and early August, underpins trader consensus that the Moderates will finish third. Limited movement in bloc support or individual party ratings over the past month has kept alternative outcomes, such as a Sweden Democrats surge into third or a stronger showing by smaller parties, at low implied probabilities. The election date and ongoing campaign period remain the primary near-term variables that could still affect final placement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 83%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 16%
Green Party (MP) 2.4%
Centre Party (C) 1.5%
$24,131 Vol.
$24,131 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
16%
Moderate Party (M)
83%
Centre Party (C)
2%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
2%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 83%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 16%
Green Party (MP) 2.4%
Centre Party (C) 1.5%
$24,131 Vol.
$24,131 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$1,324 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$3,706 Vol.
16%
Moderate Party (M)
$9,445 Vol.
83%
Centre Party (C)
$2,124 Vol.
2%
Left Party (V)
$1,241 Vol.
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$1,217 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$2,086 Vol.
2%
Liberals (L)
$1,463 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,524 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats leading with roughly 32–34 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats at 19–21 percent and the Moderate Party at 17–18 percent, with remaining parties trailing further behind. This stable ordering, consistent across multiple survey firms through late July and early August, underpins trader consensus that the Moderates will finish third. Limited movement in bloc support or individual party ratings over the past month has kept alternative outcomes, such as a Sweden Democrats surge into third or a stronger showing by smaller parties, at low implied probabilities. The election date and ongoing campaign period remain the primary near-term variables that could still affect final placement.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$24,131End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats leading with roughly 32–34 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats at 19–21 percent and the Moderate Party at 17–18 percent, with remaining parties trailing further behind. This stable ordering, consistent across multiple survey firms through late July and early August, underpins trader consensus that the Moderates will finish third. Limited movement in bloc support or individual party ratings over the past month has kept alternative outcomes, such as a Sweden Democrats surge into third or a stronger showing by smaller parties, at low implied probabilities. The election date and ongoing campaign period remain the primary near-term variables that could still affect final placement.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$24,131End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats leading with roughly 32–34 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats at 19–21 percent and the Moderate Party at 17–18 percent, with remaining parties trailing further behind. This stable ordering, consistent across multiple survey firms through late July and early August, underpins trader consensus that the Moderates will finish third. Limited movement in bloc support or individual party ratings over the past month has kept alternative outcomes, such as a Sweden Democrats surge into third or a stronger showing by smaller parties, at low implied probabilities. The election date and ongoing campaign period remain the primary near-term variables that could still affect final placement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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