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Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

icon for Bulgaria Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova 76%

Аndrey Gyurov 21%

Nikolai Denkov 1.7%

Natalia Kiselova <1%

Polymarket

$336,595 Vol.

Iliana Iotova 76%

Аndrey Gyurov 21%

Nikolai Denkov 1.7%

Natalia Kiselova <1%

Polymarket

$336,595 Vol.

icon for Iliana Iotova

Iliana Iotova

$121,842 Vol.

76%

icon for Аndrey Gyurov

Аndrey Gyurov

$24,144 Vol.

21%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$31,227 Vol.

2%

icon for Natalia Kiselova

Natalia Kiselova

$13,132 Vol.

1%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$13,926 Vol.

1%

icon for Vassil Terziev

Vassil Terziev

$10,966 Vol.

1%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$28,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$31,067 Vol.

<1%

icon for Blagomir Kotsev

Blagomir Kotsev

$15,339 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yanaki Stoilov

Yanaki Stoilov

$11,820 Vol.

<1%

icon for Atanas Atanasov

Atanas Atanasov

$9,044 Vol.

<1%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$8,112 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosen Plevneliev

Rosen Plevneliev

$8,487 Vol.

<1%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$9,040 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Bulgaria’s October 25, 2026 presidential election, reflecting her transition from vice president following Rumen Radev’s January resignation and her subsequent July announcement of an initiative-committee candidacy backed by the ruling Progressive Bulgaria party and BSP-OL. Recent Global Metrics polling from late June to mid-July showed her with roughly 50 percent combined definite or probable support, well ahead of potential challengers. Andrey Gyurov, the former caretaker prime minister, sits second in market pricing after registering about 23 percent in the same survey and drawing expected backing from PP-DB circles. The Central Election Commission’s August schedule, which sets the formal campaign period for late September, has not yet introduced new variables capable of narrowing the gap.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$336,595
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Bulgaria’s October 25, 2026 presidential election, reflecting her transition from vice president following Rumen Radev’s January resignation and her subsequent July announcement of an initiative-committee candidacy backed by the ruling Progressive Bulgaria party and BSP-OL. Recent Global Metrics polling from late June to mid-July showed her with roughly 50 percent combined definite or probable support, well ahead of potential challengers. Andrey Gyurov, the former caretaker prime minister, sits second in market pricing after registering about 23 percent in the same survey and drawing expected backing from PP-DB circles. The Central Election Commission’s August schedule, which sets the formal campaign period for late September, has not yet introduced new variables capable of narrowing the gap.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$336,595
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgaria Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iliana Iotova" at 76%, followed by "Аndrey Gyurov" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bulgaria Presidential Election" has generated $336.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bulgaria Presidential Election," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" is "Iliana Iotova" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Аndrey Gyurov" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.