Nasarawa State’s 2027 governorship race remains fluid more than a year before the vote, with trader prices reflecting a fragmented field across major parties. The ruling APC has settled on Senator Aliyu Ahmed Wadada after he secured a decisive primary victory and received incumbent Governor Abdullahi Sule’s public endorsement, while PDP stakeholders have unified behind former candidate Emmanuel David Ombugadu via consensus. Other parties have also concluded primaries, confirming Labour Party’s Jonathan Gaza Gbefwi, ADC’s retired Gen. Nuhu Angbazo, and ongoing maneuvering involving former IGP Mohammed Abubakar Adamu within the SDP. Zoning expectations favoring the West senatorial district, combined with over 30 early aspirants and limited statewide polling, sustain uncertainty. Further party consolidation, campaign momentum, or shifts in local alliances could widen gaps among frontrunners ahead of INEC’s formal timetable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAliyu Wadada Ahmed 50%
Emmanuel David Ombugadu 12%
Nuhu Angbazo 12%
Mohammed Abubakar Adamu 8%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Aliyu Wadada Ahmed
50%
Emmanuel David Ombugadu
33%
Nuhu Angbazo
12%
Mohammed Abubakar Adamu
8%
Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan
7%
Aliyu Wadada Ahmed 50%
Emmanuel David Ombugadu 12%
Nuhu Angbazo 12%
Mohammed Abubakar Adamu 8%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Aliyu Wadada Ahmed
$0 Vol.
50%
Emmanuel David Ombugadu
$21 Vol.
33%
Nuhu Angbazo
$0 Vol.
12%
Mohammed Abubakar Adamu
$0 Vol.
8%
Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan
$0 Vol.
7%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Nasarawa State’s 2027 governorship race remains fluid more than a year before the vote, with trader prices reflecting a fragmented field across major parties. The ruling APC has settled on Senator Aliyu Ahmed Wadada after he secured a decisive primary victory and received incumbent Governor Abdullahi Sule’s public endorsement, while PDP stakeholders have unified behind former candidate Emmanuel David Ombugadu via consensus. Other parties have also concluded primaries, confirming Labour Party’s Jonathan Gaza Gbefwi, ADC’s retired Gen. Nuhu Angbazo, and ongoing maneuvering involving former IGP Mohammed Abubakar Adamu within the SDP. Zoning expectations favoring the West senatorial district, combined with over 30 early aspirants and limited statewide polling, sustain uncertainty. Further party consolidation, campaign momentum, or shifts in local alliances could widen gaps among frontrunners ahead of INEC’s formal timetable.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Volume
$21End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Nasarawa State’s 2027 governorship race remains fluid more than a year before the vote, with trader prices reflecting a fragmented field across major parties. The ruling APC has settled on Senator Aliyu Ahmed Wadada after he secured a decisive primary victory and received incumbent Governor Abdullahi Sule’s public endorsement, while PDP stakeholders have unified behind former candidate Emmanuel David Ombugadu via consensus. Other parties have also concluded primaries, confirming Labour Party’s Jonathan Gaza Gbefwi, ADC’s retired Gen. Nuhu Angbazo, and ongoing maneuvering involving former IGP Mohammed Abubakar Adamu within the SDP. Zoning expectations favoring the West senatorial district, combined with over 30 early aspirants and limited statewide polling, sustain uncertainty. Further party consolidation, campaign momentum, or shifts in local alliances could widen gaps among frontrunners ahead of INEC’s formal timetable.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$21End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nasarawa State’s 2027 governorship race remains fluid more than a year before the vote, with trader prices reflecting a fragmented field across major parties. The ruling APC has settled on Senator Aliyu Ahmed Wadada after he secured a decisive primary victory and received incumbent Governor Abdullahi Sule’s public endorsement, while PDP stakeholders have unified behind former candidate Emmanuel David Ombugadu via consensus. Other parties have also concluded primaries, confirming Labour Party’s Jonathan Gaza Gbefwi, ADC’s retired Gen. Nuhu Angbazo, and ongoing maneuvering involving former IGP Mohammed Abubakar Adamu within the SDP. Zoning expectations favoring the West senatorial district, combined with over 30 early aspirants and limited statewide polling, sustain uncertainty. Further party consolidation, campaign momentum, or shifts in local alliances could widen gaps among frontrunners ahead of INEC’s formal timetable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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