Incumbent APC Governor Ahmed Aliyu secured his party’s 2027 nomination through consensus affirmation across wards, bolstering his position via established structures tied to Senator Aliyu Wamakko. Opposition remains fragmented, with Mannir Muhammad Dan Iya affirmed as ADC candidate after primaries drawing support from former Governor Aminu Tambuwal, while other parties including NDC and Labour Party have named contenders. Recent defections of over 700 APC members to ADC in Goronyo LGA and persistent banditry incidents have kept trader assessments tight, with no single outcome exceeding a slim implied edge. Upcoming party consolidations and primary resolutions before the 2027 vote could widen separations among the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAhmed Aliyu 47%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya 26%
Mustapha Shehu 24%
Abdulrrahim Chindo 23%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Ahmed Aliyu
64%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya
26%
Mustapha Shehu
24%
Abdulrrahim Chindo
23%
Ahmed Aliyu 47%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya 26%
Mustapha Shehu 24%
Abdulrrahim Chindo 23%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Ahmed Aliyu
$0 Vol.
64%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya
$0 Vol.
26%
Mustapha Shehu
$0 Vol.
24%
Abdulrrahim Chindo
$0 Vol.
23%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent APC Governor Ahmed Aliyu secured his party’s 2027 nomination through consensus affirmation across wards, bolstering his position via established structures tied to Senator Aliyu Wamakko. Opposition remains fragmented, with Mannir Muhammad Dan Iya affirmed as ADC candidate after primaries drawing support from former Governor Aminu Tambuwal, while other parties including NDC and Labour Party have named contenders. Recent defections of over 700 APC members to ADC in Goronyo LGA and persistent banditry incidents have kept trader assessments tight, with no single outcome exceeding a slim implied edge. Upcoming party consolidations and primary resolutions before the 2027 vote could widen separations among the field.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent APC Governor Ahmed Aliyu secured his party’s 2027 nomination through consensus affirmation across wards, bolstering his position via established structures tied to Senator Aliyu Wamakko. Opposition remains fragmented, with Mannir Muhammad Dan Iya affirmed as ADC candidate after primaries drawing support from former Governor Aminu Tambuwal, while other parties including NDC and Labour Party have named contenders. Recent defections of over 700 APC members to ADC in Goronyo LGA and persistent banditry incidents have kept trader assessments tight, with no single outcome exceeding a slim implied edge. Upcoming party consolidations and primary resolutions before the 2027 vote could widen separations among the field.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$0End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent APC Governor Ahmed Aliyu secured his party’s 2027 nomination through consensus affirmation across wards, bolstering his position via established structures tied to Senator Aliyu Wamakko. Opposition remains fragmented, with Mannir Muhammad Dan Iya affirmed as ADC candidate after primaries drawing support from former Governor Aminu Tambuwal, while other parties including NDC and Labour Party have named contenders. Recent defections of over 700 APC members to ADC in Goronyo LGA and persistent banditry incidents have kept trader assessments tight, with no single outcome exceeding a slim implied edge. Upcoming party consolidations and primary resolutions before the 2027 vote could widen separations among the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions