Mustapha Gubio leads trader consensus in the 2027 Borno gubernatorial race after securing the APC nomination unopposed in May 2026, with endorsements from incumbent Governor Babagana Zulum and Vice President Kashim Shettima. Zulum publicly presented Gubio as his preferred successor earlier that spring, citing continuity in governance priorities. Borno’s APC dominance, limited opposition momentum, and the party’s control of state institutions underpin the elevated implied probability for Gubio. Lower-priced candidates such as Ibrahim Abba Gana and Babagana Buhari reflect other-party primaries but face structural barriers in a state where APC has won recent cycles. No major shifts have occurred since the primary, leaving the field stable ahead of the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMustapha Gubio 65%
Ibrahim Abba Gana 19%
Babagana Buhari 19%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Mustapha Gubio
65%
Ibrahim Abba Gana
19%
Babagana Buhari
19%
Mustapha Gubio 65%
Ibrahim Abba Gana 19%
Babagana Buhari 19%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Mustapha Gubio
$58 Vol.
65%
Ibrahim Abba Gana
$19 Vol.
19%
Babagana Buhari
$19 Vol.
19%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Borno State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mustapha Gubio leads trader consensus in the 2027 Borno gubernatorial race after securing the APC nomination unopposed in May 2026, with endorsements from incumbent Governor Babagana Zulum and Vice President Kashim Shettima. Zulum publicly presented Gubio as his preferred successor earlier that spring, citing continuity in governance priorities. Borno’s APC dominance, limited opposition momentum, and the party’s control of state institutions underpin the elevated implied probability for Gubio. Lower-priced candidates such as Ibrahim Abba Gana and Babagana Buhari reflect other-party primaries but face structural barriers in a state where APC has won recent cycles. No major shifts have occurred since the primary, leaving the field stable ahead of the general election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Borno State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
Volume
$96End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Borno State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mustapha Gubio leads trader consensus in the 2027 Borno gubernatorial race after securing the APC nomination unopposed in May 2026, with endorsements from incumbent Governor Babagana Zulum and Vice President Kashim Shettima. Zulum publicly presented Gubio as his preferred successor earlier that spring, citing continuity in governance priorities. Borno’s APC dominance, limited opposition momentum, and the party’s control of state institutions underpin the elevated implied probability for Gubio. Lower-priced candidates such as Ibrahim Abba Gana and Babagana Buhari reflect other-party primaries but face structural barriers in a state where APC has won recent cycles. No major shifts have occurred since the primary, leaving the field stable ahead of the general election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Borno State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$96End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mustapha Gubio leads trader consensus in the 2027 Borno gubernatorial race after securing the APC nomination unopposed in May 2026, with endorsements from incumbent Governor Babagana Zulum and Vice President Kashim Shettima. Zulum publicly presented Gubio as his preferred successor earlier that spring, citing continuity in governance priorities. Borno’s APC dominance, limited opposition momentum, and the party’s control of state institutions underpin the elevated implied probability for Gubio. Lower-priced candidates such as Ibrahim Abba Gana and Babagana Buhari reflect other-party primaries but face structural barriers in a state where APC has won recent cycles. No major shifts have occurred since the primary, leaving the field stable ahead of the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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