Skip to main content
icon for Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Politics·Africa

Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

icon for Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Politics·Africa

Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Dauda Lawal 78%

Mahadi Aliyu Gusau 31%

Ahmed Yahuza 15%

Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Dauda Lawal 78%

Mahadi Aliyu Gusau 31%

Ahmed Yahuza 15%

Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus 11%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Dauda Lawal

Dauda Lawal

$279 Vol.

78%

icon for Mahadi Aliyu Gusau

Mahadi Aliyu Gusau

$0 Vol.

31%

icon for Ahmed Yahuza

Ahmed Yahuza

$0 Vol.

15%

icon for Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus

Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus

$0 Vol.

11%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Dauda Lawal, the incumbent governor who defected from the PDP to the APC in March 2026 amid the opposition party's internal crises and court rulings, leads the Zamfara 2027 governorship market at 78% as the APC consensus candidate. Recent party affirmation across all 14 local government areas in August 2026, monitored by INEC, delivered him the nomination unanimously with over 300,000 votes, backed by state stakeholders, former governors, and alignment with the federal ruling party. This consolidation, following earlier clearances and endorsements, positions him strongly against fragmented opposition contenders including Mahadi Aliyu Gusau (ADC nominee at 22.5%) and lower-priced aspirants such as Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus and Ahmed Yahuza. Trader pricing reflects the advantages of incumbency, party machinery, and limited viable alternatives ahead of the 2027 vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$279
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Dauda Lawal, the incumbent governor who defected from the PDP to the APC in March 2026 amid the opposition party's internal crises and court rulings, leads the Zamfara 2027 governorship market at 78% as the APC consensus candidate. Recent party affirmation across all 14 local government areas in August 2026, monitored by INEC, delivered him the nomination unanimously with over 300,000 votes, backed by state stakeholders, former governors, and alignment with the federal ruling party. This consolidation, following earlier clearances and endorsements, positions him strongly against fragmented opposition contenders including Mahadi Aliyu Gusau (ADC nominee at 22.5%) and lower-priced aspirants such as Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus and Ahmed Yahuza. Trader pricing reflects the advantages of incumbency, party machinery, and limited viable alternatives ahead of the 2027 vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$279
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

Related

icon for Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?

Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?

54%
icon for Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?

Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?

45%
icon for Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?

Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?

77%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dauda Lawal" at 78%, followed by "Mahadi Aliyu Gusau" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is "Dauda Lawal" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mahadi Aliyu Gusau" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.