**Pete Fry leads the Vancouver mayoral race** with consolidated support from progressive parties after COPE candidate Stephanie Allen and OneCity candidate William Azaroff withdrew in early September and stepped aside to unify behind the Green Party councillor. A late-August to mid-September Justason poll showed Fry at 45% among decided voters, ahead of incumbent Ken Sim at 30%, with Colleen Hardwick, Kareem Allam, and Rebecca Bligh in single digits. Fry benefits from stronger backing among women and across city regions, while Sim maintains competitive support among men and homeowners. Public safety, housing affordability, and municipal services remain central issues three weeks before the October 17 vote. The market’s pricing reflects this post-consolidation polling shift and the resulting narrower path for Sim and the fragmented field of other candidates.