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icon for 温哥华市长选举获胜者
选举·加拿大

温哥华市长选举获胜者

icon for 温哥华市长选举获胜者
选举·加拿大

温哥华市长选举获胜者

卡里姆·阿拉姆 51%

肯·沈 29%

皮特·弗莱 10.1%

威廉·阿扎罗夫 4.7%

Polymarket

$97,484 交易量

卡里姆·阿拉姆 51%

肯·沈 29%

皮特·弗莱 10.1%

威廉·阿扎罗夫 4.7%

Polymarket

$97,484 交易量

icon for 卡里姆·阿拉姆

卡里姆·阿拉姆

$37,904 交易量

51%

icon for 肯·沈

肯·沈

$17,418 交易量

29%

icon for 皮特·弗莱

皮特·弗莱

$14,914 交易量

10%

icon for 威廉·阿扎罗夫

威廉·阿扎罗夫

$5,164 交易量

5%

icon for 科琳·哈德威克

科琳·哈德威克

$2,672 交易量

1%

icon for 约翰·库帕

约翰·库帕

$3,249 交易量

1%

icon for Kirk LaPointe

Kirk LaPointe

$2,576 交易量

1%

icon for 丽贝卡·布莱

丽贝卡·布莱

$2,808 交易量

1%

icon for 肖恩·奥尔

肖恩·奥尔

$2,098 交易量

<1%

icon for 蒂姆·路易斯

蒂姆·路易斯

$5,057 交易量

<1%

icon for 阿曼达·伯罗斯

阿曼达·伯罗斯

$1,806 交易量

<1%

icon for 弗雷德·哈丁

弗雷德·哈丁

$1,819 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Kareem Allam holds the lead in trader consensus for Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral election due to his background as Ken Sim's former chief of staff and 2022 ABC Vancouver campaign manager, combined with his launch of the new Vancouver Liberals party positioning him as a centrist alternative. Incumbent Sim trails amid a fragmented field that includes Green councillor Pete Fry, OneCity's William Azaroff, Vote Vancouver's Rebecca Bligh, and others, which traders expect to split progressive and moderate votes. Recent developments include Allam's formal campaign launch in late 2025, Sim's re-election announcement emphasizing public safety and affordability gains, and the entry of additional candidates in spring 2026, all of which have reinforced Allam's edge in skin-in-the-game pricing without major shifts in the past month.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
交易量
$97,484
结束日期
2026-10-17
市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Kareem Allam holds the lead in trader consensus for Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral election due to his background as Ken Sim's former chief of staff and 2022 ABC Vancouver campaign manager, combined with his launch of the new Vancouver Liberals party positioning him as a centrist alternative. Incumbent Sim trails amid a fragmented field that includes Green councillor Pete Fry, OneCity's William Azaroff, Vote Vancouver's Rebecca Bligh, and others, which traders expect to split progressive and moderate votes. Recent developments include Allam's formal campaign launch in late 2025, Sim's re-election announcement emphasizing public safety and affordability gains, and the entry of additional candidates in spring 2026, all of which have reinforced Allam's edge in skin-in-the-game pricing without major shifts in the past month.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
交易量
$97,484
结束日期
2026-10-17
市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"温哥华市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"卡里姆·阿拉姆"，概率为 51%，其次是"肯·沈"，概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 51¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 51%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"温哥华市长选举获胜者"已产生 $97.5K 的总交易量（自Apr 2, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"温哥华市长选举获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"温哥华市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"卡里姆·阿拉姆"，概率为 51%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 51%。紧随其后的结果是"肯·沈"，概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"温哥华市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。