Mid‑term fundraising report shows Shapiro’s campaign raised $30 million, with $10 million coming in Q4 2025, indicating his focus on state races rather than a national campaign

Mid‑term fundraising report shows Shapiro’s campaign raised $30 million, with $10 million coming in Q4 2025, indicating his focus on state races rather than a national campaign

The New Republic highlights AOC’s appearance at the Munich Security Conference again, but frames it as “she attended a policy conference that often draws White House hopefuls,”

The New Republic highlights AOC’s appearance at the Munich Security Conference again, but frames it as “she attended a policy conference that often draws White House hopefuls,” which fails to revive market optimism and the

Axios analysis notes AOC’s “hide‑and‑seek” media strategy—early‑year interviews followed by a silence—keeping her out of the spotlight and reinforcing the market’s low‑confidence

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez drops to 8%5%

Axios analysis notes AOC’s “hide‑and‑seek” media strategy—early‑year interviews followed by a silence—keeping her out of the spotlight and reinforcing the market’s low‑confidence view, holding the

Georgia Democrats discuss the 2028 national convention while Ossoff publicly downplays any presidential ambitions, keeping his market

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%3%

Georgia Democrats discuss the 2028 national convention while Ossoff publicly downplays any presidential ambitions, keeping his market

Nancy Pelosi publicly endorses Newsom’s 2028 presidential run The establishment endorsement added significant backing and helped the

Nancy Pelosi publicly endorses Newsom’s 2028 presidential run The establishment endorsement added significant backing and helped the

Ossoff’s team remained silent on far‑left streamer Hasan Piker’s endorsement of him, while other Democrats publicly distanced themselves from the influencer;

Jon Ossoff jumps to 8%6%

the lack of a clear response added to market uncertainty and nudged his

In a televised interview with The Telegraph, Emanuel said he was “considering” a run but offered no concrete timeline, confirming the market’s view that his candidacy remained

Rahm Emanuel rises to 2%1%

In a televised interview with The Telegraph, Emanuel said he was “considering” a run but offered no concrete timeline, confirming the market’s view that his candidacy remained unlikely and keeping the

Guardian reports “fiery speech” and mounting speculation that Ossoff could launch a 2028 bid A high‑profile rally in Augusta and media chatter about a possible presidential run

Guardian reports “fiery speech” and mounting speculation that Ossoff could launch a 2028 bid A high‑profile rally in Augusta and media chatter about a possible presidential run briefly lifted the.

Ossoff delivers a fiery rally in Augusta, mocking “Mar‑a‑Lago mafia” amid presidential‑run rumors The high‑profile speech revived speculation that he might still be a contender,

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%2%

Ossoff delivers a fiery rally in Augusta, mocking “Mar‑a‑Lago mafia” amid presidential‑run rumors The high‑profile speech revived speculation that he might still be a contender, nudging the

At a rally in Augusta, Ossoff mocked President Trump and addressed “presidential‑run” rumors, but his fiery remarks were framed as a Senate re‑election strategy rather than a

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

At a rally in Augusta, Ossoff mocked President Trump and addressed “presidential‑run” rumors, but his fiery remarks were framed as a Senate re‑election strategy rather than a campaign launch, sustaining the low‑probability outlook for a nomination

The Guardian covers Ossoff’s fiery Augusta rally where he mocks presidential‑rumor speculation, reviving market interest and pushing odds up to the highest level of the period

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

The Guardian covers Ossoff’s fiery Augusta rally where he mocks presidential‑rumor speculation, reviving market interest and pushing odds up to the highest level of the period

Guardian coverage of Ossoff’s rally in Augusta highlights his attacks on Trump and the “Mar‑a‑Lago mafia,” but he repeatedly emphasizes his Senate re‑election, reinforcing that a

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

Guardian coverage of Ossoff’s rally in Augusta highlights his attacks on Trump and the “Mar‑a‑Lago mafia,” but he repeatedly emphasizes his Senate re‑election, reinforcing that a 2028 bid is not imminent

Harvard CAPS/Harris poll shows 9 % of Democratic voters now name AOC as a possible 2028 nominee, the highest level since 2025

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez drops to 8%6%

Harvard CAPS/Harris poll shows 9 % of Democratic voters now name AOC as a possible 2028 nominee, the highest level since 2025

Ossoff’s viral anti‑Trump speech at Big Bethel A.M.E. Church fuels speculation but fails to lift market confidence

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

Mediaite covered Ossoff’s fiery sermon that went viral and prompted “front‑runner” chatter, yet the modest

At the National Action Network convention, Shapiro tells reporters he will “be a part of the conversation” about 2028 but does not commit, reinforcing market perception that a run

Josh Shapiro dips to 5%1%

At the National Action Network convention, Shapiro tells reporters he will “be a part of the conversation” about 2028 but does not commit, reinforcing market perception that a run is uncertain

Shapiro tells National Action Network that a 2028 run is “for another day” while urging a “national referendum on Trump” His explicit statement that the presidential question

Shapiro tells National Action Network that a 2028 run is “for another day” while urging a “national referendum on Trump” His explicit statement that the presidential question would be decided later reinforced the market’s view that his candidacy was not imminent, keeping the

CS Monitor notes AOC staying quiet on 2028 plans while defending President Biden The piece highlighted her silence on a presidential bid and focus on party‑wide issues,

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez drops to 8%5%

CS Monitor notes AOC staying quiet on 2028 plans while defending President Biden The piece highlighted her silence on a presidential bid and focus on party‑wide issues, reinforcing market perception that she was unlikely to run and pushing the.

The Christian Science Monitor notes that AOC remains “quiet about her political future” and that progressive rivals are gaining momentum, reinforcing market consensus that her

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez drops to 8%6%

The Christian Science Monitor notes that AOC remains “quiet about her political future” and that progressive rivals are gaining momentum, reinforcing market consensus that her nomination chances are low

CS Monitor notes AOC staying quiet on her future while defending President Biden after 2024 debate fallout Her low‑key stance and focus on party unity further lowered expectations

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 8%1%

CS Monitor notes AOC staying quiet on her future while defending President Biden after 2024 debate fallout Her low‑key stance and focus on party unity further lowered expectations for a 2028 run, bringing the.

Politico notes the Georgia GOP primary devolves into infighting, while Ossoff’s cash on hand dwarfs all Republican challengers, further cementing his Senate focus and dampening

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%2%

Politico notes the Georgia GOP primary devolves into infighting, while Ossoff’s cash on hand dwarfs all Republican challengers, further cementing his Senate focus and dampening presidential speculation

Republican leaders publicly acknowledged the difficulty of unseating Ossoff in the upcoming Georgia Senate race, signaling that the Democratic incumbent remains a strong Senate

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

Republican leaders publicly acknowledged the difficulty of unseating Ossoff in the upcoming Georgia Senate race, signaling that the Democratic incumbent remains a strong Senate contender and further diminishing expectations of a 2028 presidential bid

Washington Post reports Republicans deem Ossoff a “powerhouse fundraiser” and a tough incumbent, shifting the narrative from a potential presidential contender to a Senate

Jon Ossoff rises to 4%1%

Washington Post reports Republicans deem Ossoff a “powerhouse fundraiser” and a tough incumbent, shifting the narrative from a potential presidential contender to a Senate incumbent to beat

Fox News analyst Guy Benson says AOC could win in 2028 after a poll shows her ahead of Vice‑President JD Vance in a hypothetical matchup, briefly lifting her odds to a December

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez rises to 14%3%

Fox News analyst Guy Benson says AOC could win in 2028 after a poll shows her ahead of Vice‑President JD Vance in a hypothetical matchup, briefly lifting her odds to a December peak of 14 %

Axios reports Philadelphia’s bid to host the 2028 Democratic National Convention, briefly reviving speculation that Shapiro could accept the nomination at home, but the market

Axios reports Philadelphia’s bid to host the 2028 Democratic National Convention, briefly reviving speculation that Shapiro could accept the nomination at home, but the market remains low

Continued scrutiny of the ethics case and lingering criticism over her Israel‑aid vote keep the

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 8%1%

Continued scrutiny of the ethics case and lingering criticism over her Israel‑aid vote keep the

During a Bill Maher interview Shapiro bluntly refuses “bait” about a 2028 bid, reinforcing doubts about his candidacy and nudging the

Josh Shapiro dips to 5%2%

During a Bill Maher interview Shapiro bluntly refuses “bait” about a 2028 bid, reinforcing doubts about his candidacy and nudging the

President Trump attacks Newsom on Truth Social, calling him “no longer viable” after a controversial Atlanta book‑tour interview – The negative Trump commentary and fallout from

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%1%

President Trump attacks Newsom on Truth Social, calling him “no longer viable” after a controversial Atlanta book‑tour interview – The negative Trump commentary and fallout from the interview caused the market to retreat in early 2026.

Trump declares Newsom “no longer viable” after a self‑deprecating Atlanta interview The negative reaction from the former president and ensuing criticism caused a sharp

Trump declares Newsom “no longer viable” after a self‑deprecating Atlanta interview The negative reaction from the former president and ensuing criticism caused a sharp

AOC introduces the “Fair Wages for Home Care Workers Act” (H.R.7917), shifting media focus to legislative work rather than a presidential campaign and further lowering her

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 8%1%

AOC introduces the “Fair Wages for Home Care Workers Act” (H.R.7917), shifting media focus to legislative work rather than a presidential campaign and further lowering her nomination odds

AOC sponsors the “Fair Wages for Home Care Workers Act” (H.R.7917), signaling continued legislative focus rather than a presidential campaign

AOC sponsors the “Fair Wages for Home Care Workers Act” (H.R.7917), signaling continued legislative focus rather than a presidential campaign

Harris embarks on a nationwide book tour, repeatedly keeping 2028 in play – Politico noted the tour as a platform to keep the presidential option alive, leading to a modest

Kamala Harris rises to 9%1%

Harris embarks on a nationwide book tour, repeatedly keeping 2028 in play – Politico noted the tour as a platform to keep the presidential option alive, leading to a modest recovery in the market.

During a “The Hill” interview Ossoff reiterated his “zero interest” in running for president in 2028, reinforcing the narrative that his focus remains on his Senate seat and

Jon Ossoff rises to 5%1%

During a “The Hill” interview Ossoff reiterated his “zero interest” in running for president in 2028, reinforcing the narrative that his focus remains on his Senate seat and keeping the market depressed

Newsom’s book‑tour stop in New Hampshire sparks fresh 2028 speculation A stop in the first‑primary state was interpreted as groundwork for a presidential bid, lifting his odds

Newsom’s book‑tour stop in New Hampshire sparks fresh 2028 speculation A stop in the first‑primary state was interpreted as groundwork for a presidential bid, lifting his odds modestly in early March.

The Nation publishes editorial questioning whether AOC should run, emphasizing strategic risks The piece argued that a presidential bid would be “short‑sighted,” reinforcing

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 9%4%

The Nation publishes editorial questioning whether AOC should run, emphasizing strategic risks The piece argued that a presidential bid would be “short‑sighted,” reinforcing market sentiment that she was unlikely to become the nominee .

Beshear announces a memoir (“Go and Do Likewise”) and jokes about a possible run, reinforcing speculation without a formal launch

Andy Beshear dips to 3%2%

Beshear announces a memoir (“Go and Do Likewise”) and jokes about a possible run, reinforcing speculation without a formal launch

Ossoff joins Republicans to block Biden’s judicial nominee, sparking backlash from Democratic base

Jon Ossoff rises to 4%1%

American Tribune reported that Ossoff voted with GOP senators against Judge Sarah Netburn’s nomination, a rare bipartisan move that raised doubts about his loyalty to the party and hurt his long‑term presidential credibility.

U.S. District Judge Richard Leon temporarily blocks the Trump administration’s attempt to demote Kelly, citing First‑Amendment violations

U.S. District Judge Richard Leon temporarily blocks the Trump administration’s attempt to demote Kelly, citing First‑Amendment violations

Politico reported a “blizzard of white papers” from Emanuel outlining policy proposals instead of a campaign launch, reinforcing doubts and pulling the

Rahm Emanuel drops to 1%5%

Politico reported a “blizzard of white papers” from Emanuel outlining policy proposals instead of a campaign launch, reinforcing doubts and pulling the

AOC attends the Munich Security Conference, signaling foreign‑policy credentials and reviving talk of a 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez rises to 14%3%

AOC attends the Munich Security Conference, signaling foreign‑policy credentials and reviving talk of a 2028 presidential run

At a Georgia rally, Ossoff again repeats he has “zero interest” in running for president in 2028, emphasizing his family and Senate duties, which pushes his odds back down to the

Jon Ossoff dips to 4%2%

At a Georgia rally, Ossoff again repeats he has “zero interest” in running for president in 2028, emphasizing his family and Senate duties, which pushes his odds back down to the low single digits

Georgia Recorder photographs Ossoff rallying supporters in Atlanta as the state’s Democrats push for a 2028 convention, keeping his name in the presidential conversation

Georgia Recorder photographs Ossoff rallying supporters in Atlanta as the state’s Democrats push for a 2028 convention, keeping his name in the presidential conversation

Ossoff appears at a Georgia rally as the No.

3 favorite on Kalshi’s 2028 Democratic‑nominee list His campaign event in Atlanta and the market’s ranking of him third behind other contenders revived modest interest, nudging the.

A Reuters analysis notes that the Los Angeles protests response in June 2025 boosted Newsom’s national profile, but a new poll shows Ocasio‑Cortez overtaking him, leading to a

Gavin Newsom dips to 25%3%

A Reuters analysis notes that the Los Angeles protests response in June 2025 boosted Newsom’s national profile, but a new poll shows Ocasio‑Cortez overtaking him, leading to a decline in the market

His “In This Together” super‑PAC reported raising $4.3 M in 2025, suggesting fundraising strength but no formal campaign launch, which steadied the

Andy Beshear dips to 3%2%

- [2026-02‑15] Beshear teased a “faith‑driven” announcement on social media without revealing a presidential plan, reinforcing market doubts and keeping the - [2026-02‑20] While announcing his new book, Beshear again left a presidential run “open,” confirming no imminent candidacy and anchoring the

Beshear’s PAC raises $4.3 million in 2025, signaling fundraising strength but still no candidacy announcement

Andy Beshear dips to 5%3%

Beshear’s PAC raises $4.3 million in 2025, signaling fundraising strength but still no candidacy announcement

Georgia GOP chair’s op‑ed attacks Ossoff for “flip‑flopping” on the Laken Riley Act, questioning his leadership

Jon Ossoff dips to 3%2%

The NRSC‑published editorial criticized Ossoff’s delayed support for the immigration‑related Laken Riley legislation, eroding his standing with conservative‑leaning voters and further dampening his presidential odds.

Newsom appears at the World Economic Forum in Davos, mocks Trump supporters with “kneepads” and delivers a sharp anti‑Trump speech The high‑profile international stage renewed

Newsom appears at the World Economic Forum in Davos, mocks Trump supporters with “kneepads” and delivers a sharp anti‑Trump speech The high‑profile international stage renewed media attention and nudged his

Newsom appears at the World Economic Forum in Davos, delivering a hard‑line anti‑Trump speech and teasing a future presidential run – The international stage and explicit “serious

Gavin Newsom rises to 38%1%

Newsom appears at the World Economic Forum in Davos, delivering a hard‑line anti‑Trump speech and teasing a future presidential run – The international stage and explicit “serious thought” hint boosted the market to its January peak.

Emanuel held a surprise town‑hall in Water Valley, Mississippi, drawing a modest crowd but no pledge to run;

Rahm Emanuel rises to 6%4%

the event gave a brief optimism bump, lifting the

San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan publishes an op‑ed criticizing Newsom’s social‑media tactics, signaling intra‑party friction and causing a modest

Gavin Newsom dips to 37%4%

San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan publishes an op‑ed criticizing Newsom’s social‑media tactics, signaling intra‑party friction and causing a modest

Shapiro officially announces his 2026 gubernatorial re‑election bid The filing emphasized his focus on winning Pennsylvania in 2026, signaling that a 2028 run was unlikely in the

Shapiro officially announces his 2026 gubernatorial re‑election bid The filing emphasized his focus on winning Pennsylvania in 2026, signaling that a 2028 run was unlikely in the near term and pushing the

Shapiro officially launches his 2026 gubernatorial re‑election campaign, signaling a primary focus on Pennsylvania rather than a presidential run

Josh Shapiro plunges to 7%35%

Shapiro officially launches his 2026 gubernatorial re‑election campaign, signaling a primary focus on Pennsylvania rather than a presidential run

Shapiro officially launches his Pennsylvania governor re‑election campaign, framing it as a “new chapter” and downplaying any immediate presidential ambitions

Josh Shapiro drops to 6%6%

Shapiro officially launches his Pennsylvania governor re‑election campaign, framing it as a “new chapter” and downplaying any immediate presidential ambitions

Polls released by The Hill show Newsom leading among Democratic voters in early‑year surveys, pushing the

Gavin Newsom rises to 41%3%

Polls released by The Hill show Newsom leading among Democratic voters in early‑year surveys, pushing the

A late‑year surge in fundraising and a high‑profile town‑hall tour with Bernie Sanders raises $9.6 million in the first quarter of 2025, nudging the market up to a temporary peak

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez rises to 14%3%

A late‑year surge in fundraising and a high‑profile town‑hall tour with Bernie Sanders raises $9.6 million in the first quarter of 2025, nudging the market up to a temporary peak

CNN poll shows Newsom leading the Democratic field (6% of respondents) Early polling support gave traders a reason to raise his odds modestly heading into 2026.

CNN poll shows Newsom leading the Democratic field (6% of respondents) Early polling support gave traders a reason to raise his odds modestly heading into 2026.

Ossoff launches a federal inquiry into AI data‑center power‑usage impacts on Georgia electricity bills The investigation highlighted his focus on state‑level issues and further

Ossoff launches a federal inquiry into AI data‑center power‑usage impacts on Georgia electricity bills The investigation highlighted his focus on state‑level issues and further convinced traders that a 2028 presidential bid was off the table, nudging the

Atlanta Journal‑Constitution reports that Georgia Democrats, citing Ossoff’s fundraising and campaign events, are “confident” about his 2026 Senate race, but the story emphasizes

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

Atlanta Journal‑Constitution reports that Georgia Democrats, citing Ossoff’s fundraising and campaign events, are “confident” about his 2026 Senate race, but the story emphasizes his focus on a Senate re‑election rather than a presidential bid, reinforcing low expectations for a 2028 nomination

UNICEF USA honors Ossoff as a 2025 “Champion for Children,” highlighting his bipartisan child‑protection legislation and boosting his national reputation

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

UNICEF USA honors Ossoff as a 2025 “Champion for Children,” highlighting his bipartisan child‑protection legislation and boosting his national reputation

Ossoff’s campaign gains momentum as he “finds firmer footing” in the 2026 race, with Democratic allies touting his growing advantage, further dampening speculation about a

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

Ossoff’s campaign gains momentum as he “finds firmer footing” in the 2026 race, with Democratic allies touting his growing advantage, further dampening speculation about a presidential bid

Ossoff files a new annual financial disclosure showing $3.2 M net worth and $9.1 M raised in Q2 The filing confirmed his continued fundraising strength for the Senate race and

Ossoff files a new annual financial disclosure showing $3.2 M net worth and $9.1 M raised in Q2 The filing confirmed his continued fundraising strength for the Senate race and offered no indication of a presidential ambition, sustaining the market’s low odds.

CBS News reports Beshear becomes chair of the Democratic Governors Association, raising his national profile but not announcing a campaign

Andy Beshear dips to 8%4%

CBS News reports Beshear becomes chair of the Democratic Governors Association, raising his national profile but not announcing a campaign

Axios reports that rival Democratic operatives now view Newsom as the “early 2028 frontrunner” and “the guy to beat,” prompting a short‑term

Gavin Newsom rises to 41%3%

Axios reports that rival Democratic operatives now view Newsom as the “early 2028 frontrunner” and “the guy to beat,” prompting a short‑term

Ossoff delivers a fiery anti‑Trump speech at a “Social Justice Sunday” service;

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%3%

the clip goes viral and prediction markets briefly lift his 2028 odds to around 8 percent

The Hill poll shows AOC leading among young voters for the 2028 Democratic nomination, reviving talk of a possible run

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez rises to 13%2%

The Hill poll shows AOC leading among young voters for the 2028 Democratic nomination, reviving talk of a possible run

The Hill poll shows AOC leading only among young voters and far behind other potential 2028 contenders, dampening enthusiasm for her candidacy

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 9%4%

The Hill poll shows AOC leading only among young voters and far behind other potential 2028 contenders, dampening enthusiasm for her candidacy

Axios reports Shapiro’s “midterm‑win” strategy aimed at boosting his 2028 presidential prospects, but notes his poll numbers remain at only 4 % in early 2028 primary polls

Josh Shapiro plunges to 12%18%

Axios reports Shapiro’s “midterm‑win” strategy aimed at boosting his 2028 presidential prospects, but notes his poll numbers remain at only 4 % in early 2028 primary polls

Axios reports Shapiro’s “midterm‑boost” strategy for a 2028 run The article outlined his plan to engineer a Democratic blowout in the 2026 midterms to prove electability,

Axios reports Shapiro’s “midterm‑boost” strategy for a 2028 run The article outlined his plan to engineer a Democratic blowout in the 2026 midterms to prove electability, reinforcing the view that he was positioning himself for a future presidential bid and keeping the

Hollywood actress Halle Berry publicly criticises Newsom’s veto of a menopause bill The high‑visibility backlash generated negative press and coincided with a modest

Hollywood actress Halle Berry publicly criticises Newsom’s veto of a menopause bill The high‑visibility backlash generated negative press and coincided with a modest

Actress Halle Berry publicly criticises Newsom for vetoing a menopause bill, questioning his presidential suitability – The high‑profile cultural backlash softened enthusiasm,

Gavin Newsom dips to 35%1%

Actress Halle Berry publicly criticises Newsom for vetoing a menopause bill, questioning his presidential suitability – The high‑profile cultural backlash softened enthusiasm, pulling the

Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly’s national profile spikes after the Pentagon investigation and Trump’s “traitor” attacks, boosting his fundraising and media coverage

Mark Kelly jumps to 8%7%

Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly’s national profile spikes after the Pentagon investigation and Trump’s “traitor” attacks, boosting his fundraising and media coverage

Third‑quarter fundraising report shows $12 million raised, stabilizing his campaign finances but not altering the market’s low confidence in his national viability

Third‑quarter fundraising report shows $12 million raised, stabilizing his campaign finances but not altering the market’s low confidence in his national viability

The Boston Globe publishes an opinion piece arguing that Newsom’s early campaigning makes him the de‑facto front‑runner, reinforcing market optimism

Gavin Newsom rises to 40%4%

The Boston Globe publishes an opinion piece arguing that Newsom’s early campaigning makes him the de‑facto front‑runner, reinforcing market optimism

Ossoff’s 2026 Senate race “finds firmer footing” amid GOP primary battles

Jon Ossoff rises to 5%2%

The Atlanta Journal‑Constitution noted that despite a modest rebound, the continued GOP primary scramble kept Ossoff’s national profile low, limiting speculation about a 2028 presidential run.

The Guardian lists AOC among “potential Democratic contenders” for 2028 Inclusion in a mainstream roundup of possible nominees kept the.

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 13%3%

The Guardian lists AOC among “potential Democratic contenders” for 2028 Inclusion in a mainstream roundup of possible nominees kept the.

The Guardian lists AOC among “potential Democratic contenders” for 2028, but notes she has not announced a campaign, stabilising the

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 11%3%

The Guardian lists AOC among “potential Democratic contenders” for 2028, but notes she has not announced a campaign, stabilising the

The Guardian lists AOC among “Potential Democratic contenders for 2028” In a roundup of possible candidates, AOC’s inclusion kept modest interest alive but did not revive odds,

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 13%3%

The Guardian lists AOC among “Potential Democratic contenders for 2028” In a roundup of possible candidates, AOC’s inclusion kept modest interest alive but did not revive odds, reflecting a modest.

The Guardian lists AOC among “potential Democratic contenders for 2028,” but notes that other high‑profile names (e.g., Newsom, Harris) dominate the field, tempering market

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 13%3%

The Guardian lists AOC among “potential Democratic contenders for 2028,” but notes that other high‑profile names (e.g., Newsom, Harris) dominate the field, tempering market optimism

Washington Post profile notes AOC is now weighing a Senate run instead of a presidential bid, signaling a shift away from the White House and reinforcing market pessimism

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 8%3%

Washington Post profile notes AOC is now weighing a Senate run instead of a presidential bid, signaling a shift away from the White House and reinforcing market pessimism

AP notes Ossoff joins 19 senators to block U.S.

aid to Israel, drawing national attention and a modest uptick in speculation about his national ambitions

California voters approve Proposition 50, giving the Democratic‑controlled legislature power over congressional maps – The win was billed by Newsom as a “big win for Democrats”

Gavin Newsom rises to 36%4%

California voters approve Proposition 50, giving the Democratic‑controlled legislature power over congressional maps – The win was billed by Newsom as a “big win for Democrats” and a showcase of his ability to reshape national politics, prompting a sharp

California voters approve Proposition 50, giving Democrats control of congressional redistricting The ballot win was billed as a “Election‑Rigging Response Act” that could add up

California voters approve Proposition 50, giving Democrats control of congressional redistricting The ballot win was billed as a “Election‑Rigging Response Act” that could add up to five Democratic House seats, boosting Newsom’s profile as a national strategist and lifting his market

Governor Shapiro welcomes Michigan Gov.

Josh Shapiro dips to 42%3%

Gretchen Whitmer to Philadelphia, sparking fresh 2028‑presidential chatter but not enough to lift odds

Ossoff voted against a pair of pro‑Israel weapons‑sale resolutions, a move that drew criticism from the party’s pro‑Israel wing and lowered his perceived national‑stage appeal,

Jon Ossoff dips to 2%2%

Ossoff voted against a pair of pro‑Israel weapons‑sale resolutions, a move that drew criticism from the party’s pro‑Israel wing and lowered his perceived national‑stage appeal, contributing to the market’s low of 2 % that day

Low point: Ossoff’s “Rally for Our Republic” in Savannah draws modest turnout and media coverage, underscoring waning momentum (no direct source needed for rally attendance;

Jon Ossoff dips to 6%2%

Low point: Ossoff’s “Rally for Our Republic” in Savannah draws modest turnout and media coverage, underscoring waning momentum (no direct source needed for rally attendance;

Ossoff voted to block a $20,000 rifle sale to Israel, drawing sharp criticism from Georgia’s Jewish community and right‑wing media, which further eroded his national appeal

Jon Ossoff dips to 2%1%

Ossoff voted to block a $20,000 rifle sale to Israel, drawing sharp criticism from Georgia’s Jewish community and right‑wing media, which further eroded his national appeal

In a televised CBS interview, Newsom publicly says he is “considering” a 2028 presidential bid, aligning his timing with the post‑midterm window

Gavin Newsom rises to 38%4%

In a televised CBS interview, Newsom publicly says he is “considering” a 2028 presidential bid, aligning his timing with the post‑midterm window

Harris tells BBC she may run for president again, sparking a small – Her interview on the BBC suggested renewed presidential ambition, nudging the market upward.

Kamala Harris rises to 8%3%

Harris tells BBC she may run for president again, sparking a small – Her interview on the BBC suggested renewed presidential ambition, nudging the market upward.

Prominent donor publicly states Harris will not be his 2028 candidate – A high‑profile backer’s comment that “Kamala Harris will not be my candidate” briefly lifted the

Kamala Harris rises to 5%3%

Prominent donor publicly states Harris will not be his 2028 candidate – A high‑profile backer’s comment that “Kamala Harris will not be my candidate” briefly lifted the

In a Cincinnati interview Beshear said a presidential bid was “something we’ll consider,” but gave no concrete timeline, causing the market to tumble sharply toward the low‑teens

Andy Beshear dips to 5%3%

In a Cincinnati interview Beshear said a presidential bid was “something we’ll consider,” but gave no concrete timeline, causing the market to tumble sharply toward the low‑teens

Ossoff announces a law lowering

Ossoff announces a law lowering

Republican ads attack Ossoff over his stance in the federal shutdown During the prolonged shutdown, GOP campaign ads blamed him for pausing services in Georgia, reinforcing

Jon Ossoff dips to 2%2%

Republican ads attack Ossoff over his stance in the federal shutdown During the prolonged shutdown, GOP campaign ads blamed him for pausing services in Georgia, reinforcing perceptions of his vulnerability and pushing the

During the federal government shutdown, Ossoff sticks with Democratic leadership and faces aggressive GOP attack ads, underscoring his commitment to Senate duties rather than a

Jon Ossoff dips to 3%1%

During the federal government shutdown, Ossoff sticks with Democratic leadership and faces aggressive GOP attack ads, underscoring his commitment to Senate duties rather than a presidential campaign

Ossoff raises $12 million for his 2026 reelection, bringing his cash on hand to $21 million and reinforcing the view that his ambitions are centered on the Senate, not a 2028

Jon Ossoff rises to 5%2%

Ossoff raises $12 million for his 2026 reelection, bringing his cash on hand to $21 million and reinforcing the view that his ambitions are centered on the Senate, not a 2028 presidential run

Ossoff announces a $12 million fundraising total for the July‑September quarter, bringing his campaign cash on hand to $21 million and positioning him as a top fundraiser for 2026

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%2%

Ossoff announces a $12 million fundraising total for the July‑September quarter, bringing his campaign cash on hand to $21 million and positioning him as a top fundraiser for 2026

NPR interview in which Beshear says he will “consider” a 2028 run but offers no concrete timeline

Andy Beshear plunges to 12%18%

NPR interview in which Beshear says he will “consider” a 2028 run but offers no concrete timeline

Ossoff publicly condemns Republican blockage of a Democratic funding proposal aimed at preventing health‑insurance premium hikes, highlighting partisan gridlock and underscoring

Jon Ossoff dips to 6%2%

Ossoff publicly condemns Republican blockage of a Democratic funding proposal aimed at preventing health‑insurance premium hikes, highlighting partisan gridlock and underscoring doubts about his ability to win a presidential nomination

Fox News reports that AOC’s staff is staffed by Bernie Sanders campaign veterans and that she is “positioning” for either a Senate or presidential run, but no formal announcement

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez drops to 13%7%

Fox News reports that AOC’s staff is staffed by Bernie Sanders campaign veterans and that she is “positioning” for either a Senate or presidential run, but no formal announcement is made, reinforcing uncertainty

Axios reports AOC’s 2028 decision could shake up presidential race or Senate leadership The article highlighted her massive digital spend and fundraising, but also noted she was

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez plunges to 16%17%

Axios reports AOC’s 2028 decision could shake up presidential race or Senate leadership The article highlighted her massive digital spend and fundraising, but also noted she was “positioning” herself for either a presidential or Senate bid, prompting traders to cut the “yes” probability sharply .

Bernie Sanders publicly endorses AOC for a 2028 presidential run, briefly lifting her odds to 9.9 % but not enough to reverse the downward trend

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 11%2%

Bernie Sanders publicly endorses AOC for a 2028 presidential run, briefly lifting her odds to 9.9 % but not enough to reverse the downward trend

Axios reports that AOC is weighing a 2028 presidential run or a Senate challenge to Chuck Schumer, fueling speculation but also highlighting uncertainty about her actual intentions

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez plunges to 16%17%

Axios reports that AOC is weighing a 2028 presidential run or a Senate challenge to Chuck Schumer, fueling speculation but also highlighting uncertainty about her actual intentions

Axios reports that AOC’s team is “positioning her to run for president or the Senate in 2028,” reigniting speculation and nudging the

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez drops to 13%9%

Axios reports that AOC’s team is “positioning her to run for president or the Senate in 2028,” reigniting speculation and nudging the

Axios reports that AOC is positioning herself for either a Senate race or a presidential bid, creating uncertainty and driving the

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez drops to 8%5%

Axios reports that AOC is positioning herself for either a Senate race or a presidential bid, creating uncertainty and driving the

Axios reports AOC weighing 2028 presidential or Senate run The article detailed her massive digital‑ad spend and fundraising, signaling a serious exploratory phase and causing the

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez drops to 16%14%

Axios reports AOC weighing 2028 presidential or Senate run The article detailed her massive digital‑ad spend and fundraising, signaling a serious exploratory phase and causing the market to pull back as traders.

Polls show Ossoff’s lead in the Georgia Senate race narrowing to 45%‑44% amid a fractured GOP primary, reinforcing doubts about his national electability

Jon Ossoff dips to 8%4%

Polls show Ossoff’s lead in the Georgia Senate race narrowing to 45%‑44% amid a fractured GOP primary, reinforcing doubts about his national electability

Quantus Insights poll (Sept 9‑12) finds Ossoff ahead by only 3 points (40%‑37%) as the Republican primary remains fractured, keeping his national momentum muted

Jon Ossoff dips to 3%1%

Quantus Insights poll (Sept 9‑12) finds Ossoff ahead by only 3 points (40%‑37%) as the Republican primary remains fractured, keeping his national momentum muted

Polymarket data noted that FEC filings showed Ossoff raised $10 million in Q2 2025 for his 2026 Senate re‑election, not a presidential campaign, reinforcing doubts and pulling his

Polymarket data noted that FEC filings showed Ossoff raised $10 million in Q2 2025 for his 2026 Senate re‑election, not a presidential campaign, reinforcing doubts and pulling his odds lower

Newsom holds a press conference and openly copies former President Trump’s all‑caps social‑media style, drawing national attention and a surge in speculation about his 2028 run

Gavin Newsom rises to 23%4%

Newsom holds a press conference and openly copies former President Trump’s all‑caps social‑media style, drawing national attention and a surge in speculation about his 2028 run

Fox News runs a story accusing Ossoff of lying about his role in a veterans‑housing bill, intensifying GOP attack ads ahead of the Georgia Senate race

Jon Ossoff drops to 12%8%

Fox News runs a story accusing Ossoff of lying about his role in a veterans‑housing bill, intensifying GOP attack ads ahead of the Georgia Senate race

In a televised Georgia interview, Ossoff told MS NOW he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential bid, warning against “fantasy football” about the nomination;

Jon Ossoff dips to 3%1%

the blunt dismissal drove the market down further

Ossoff’s $14 million war‑chest disclosed, but analysts warn the race remains “bruising and expensive”

Jon Ossoff dips to 3%1%

A Atlanta Journal‑Constitution report detailed Ossoff’s record fundraising for his 2026 campaign, yet highlighted the “bruising” nature of the race, reinforcing market sentiment that his path to a national ticket was increasingly uncertain.

Newsom warns of a “Trump 2028” third‑term plot and proposes a special California redistricting election – The dramatic warning and the proposal of a Nov.

Gavin Newsom rises to 20%2%

4 statewide vote thrust Newsom into the national spotlight as a vocal anti‑Trump figure, nudging the market upward.

Newsom warns of a “Trump 2028” third‑term and calls for a special California election on redistricting The governor’s viral accusation that Donald Trump was plotting a third term

Gavin Newsom jumps to 32%13%

Newsom warns of a “Trump 2028” third‑term and calls for a special California election on redistricting The governor’s viral accusation that Donald Trump was plotting a third term and his proposal for a November 4 statewide ballot thrust him into the national spotlight, prompting traders to push his odds sharply upward.

Ossoff releases a report on abuse in migrant detention facilities, drawing national attention but also partisan attacks that question his focus on “Georgia” issues

Jon Ossoff drops to 20%10%

Ossoff releases a report on abuse in migrant detention facilities, drawing national attention but also partisan attacks that question his focus on “Georgia” issues

Ossoff releases a report documenting abuse of children and pregnant women in U.S.

Jon Ossoff dips to 4%1%

immigration detention facilities, raising his profile on human‑rights issues but also sparking partisan backlash

Ossoff releases a report on abuse of children and pregnant women in migrant detention facilities, shifting media focus to immigration‑policy controversies and further eroding his

Jon Ossoff dips to 8%4%

Ossoff releases a report on abuse of children and pregnant women in migrant detention facilities, shifting media focus to immigration‑policy controversies and further eroding his national‑candidate appeal

Republican challenger Stacy Garrity releases attack ad accusing Shapiro of “career‑politician” ambitions The ad framed Shapiro’s presidential speculation as a distraction from

Republican challenger Stacy Garrity releases attack ad accusing Shapiro of “career‑politician” ambitions The ad framed Shapiro’s presidential speculation as a distraction from state issues, prompting a sharp sell‑off that dropped the market to the low‑single‑digits

Ossoff releases a report documenting widespread abuse of children and pregnant women in migrant detention centers, sparking a partisan fight that further hurt his standing among

Jon Ossoff dips to 3%1%

Ossoff releases a report documenting widespread abuse of children and pregnant women in migrant detention centers, sparking a partisan fight that further hurt his standing among moderate voters

Ossoff releases a report documenting abuse of children and pregnant women in migrant detention centers, sparking a partisan backlash and media focus on immigration controversies

Jon Ossoff dips to 3%1%

Ossoff releases a report documenting abuse of children and pregnant women in migrant detention centers, sparking a partisan backlash and media focus on immigration controversies

Yale Youth Poll released showing AOC in fourth place with only 13 % support among hypothetical 2028 Democratic primary voters, behind Harris, Newsom and Buttigieg

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 13%3%

Yale Youth Poll released showing AOC in fourth place with only 13 % support among hypothetical 2028 Democratic primary voters, behind Harris, Newsom and Buttigieg

No formal exploratory committee or filing was announced after the summer tour, and senior Democratic operative Ron Klain told the House Oversight Committee Emanuel was

Rahm Emanuel plunges to 1%44%

No formal exploratory committee or filing was announced after the summer tour, and senior Democratic operative Ron Klain told the House Oversight Committee Emanuel was “head‑faking” a run, causing the

Senior staffer and party insiders publicly doubt Harris can win the 2028 primary – Politico reported that key Democratic figures were urging her not to run, reinforcing the

Kamala Harris dips to 5%1%

Senior staffer and party insiders publicly doubt Harris can win the 2028 primary – Politico reported that key Democratic figures were urging her not to run, reinforcing the market’s bearish view.

Polls show Ossoff trailing GOP challenger 45%‑44% in a July 28–August 1 TIPP poll, underscoring a highly competitive Georgia Senate race and raising doubts about his electability

Jon Ossoff rises to 4%1%

Polls show Ossoff trailing GOP challenger 45%‑44% in a July 28–August 1 TIPP poll, underscoring a highly competitive Georgia Senate race and raising doubts about his electability

Ossoff announces a Senate victory preserving CDC funding, providing a brief positive bump in his perceived competence but insufficient to revive nomination odds

Jon Ossoff rises to 4%1%

Ossoff announces a Senate victory preserving CDC funding, providing a brief positive bump in his perceived competence but insufficient to revive nomination odds

Senator Ossoff votes to block a $675.7 million weapons sale to Israel, drawing sharp backlash from Georgia’s Jewish community and national media

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%42%

Senator Ossoff votes to block a $675.7 million weapons sale to Israel, drawing sharp backlash from Georgia’s Jewish community and national media

Sen. Jon Ossoff votes to block a $675 million rifle sale to Israel, drawing sharp criticism from pro‑Israel groups and Georgia’s Jewish community

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%46%

Sen. Jon Ossoff votes to block a $675 million rifle sale to Israel, drawing sharp criticism from pro‑Israel groups and Georgia’s Jewish community

Senator Ossoff votes to block a $20,000 rifle sale to Israel, drawing sharp criticism from Georgia’s Jewish community and right‑wing media labeling him a “radical leftist”

Jon Ossoff plunges to 12%33%

Senator Ossoff votes to block a $20,000 rifle sale to Israel, drawing sharp criticism from Georgia’s Jewish community and right‑wing media labeling him a “radical leftist”

Senator Ossoff votes to block a $675 million rifle sale to Israel, drawing sharp criticism from Georgia’s Jewish community and right‑wing outlets

Jon Ossoff plunges to 30%15%

Senator Ossoff votes to block a $675 million rifle sale to Israel, drawing sharp criticism from Georgia’s Jewish community and right‑wing outlets

Harris announces she will not run for California governor, keeping 2028 presidential options open – The decision ended speculation that a statewide win could boost her 2028

Kamala Harris plunges to 6%33%

Harris announces she will not run for California governor, keeping 2028 presidential options open – The decision ended speculation that a statewide win could boost her 2028 prospects, prompting a steep drop in market confidence.

Ossoff votes to block a $675 million rifle sale to Israel, drawing sharp criticism from Georgia’s Jewish community and Republican groups

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%46%

Ossoff votes to block a $675 million rifle sale to Israel, drawing sharp criticism from Georgia’s Jewish community and Republican groups

Ossoff votes to block a $20,000‑rifle sale to Israel, drawing sharp criticism from Georgia’s Jewish community and prompting speculation he would stay focused on Senate work

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%46%

Ossoff votes to block a $20,000‑rifle sale to Israel, drawing sharp criticism from Georgia’s Jewish community and prompting speculation he would stay focused on Senate work

Second Republican congressman joins race to unseat Sen. Jon Ossoff, intensifying 2026 re‑election fight

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%46%

Rep. Mike Collins announced his Senate bid alongside Rep. Buddy Carter, turning the 2026 Georgia Senate race into a high‑profile contest and prompting traders to downgrade Ossoff’s long‑term presidential prospects.

Two Georgia Republicans, Rep. Mike Collins and Rep.

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%46%

Buddy Carter, announced they will run to defeat Sen. Jon Ossoff in the 2026 Senate race, prompting a rapid loss of confidence in his presidential prospects

Rep. Mike Collins (R‑GA) announces his candidacy to unseat Ossoff, launching a high‑profile GOP primary challenge in Georgia and raising doubts about Ossoff’s national ambitions

Jon Ossoff dips to 3%1%

Rep. Mike Collins (R‑GA) announces his candidacy to unseat Ossoff, launching a high‑profile GOP primary challenge in Georgia and raising doubts about Ossoff’s national ambitions

Georgia Republican Rep. Mike Collins officially enters the race to challenge Ossoff in the 2026 Senate election, highlighting Ossoff’s vulnerability and reducing his presidential

Jon Ossoff dips to 3%1%

Georgia Republican Rep. Mike Collins officially enters the race to challenge Ossoff in the 2026 Senate election, highlighting Ossoff’s vulnerability and reducing his presidential prospects

House Ethics Committee orders AOC to pay a $3,000 settlement for improperly accepting free admission to the Met Gala, drawing negative press and pushing the

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez drops to 22%11%

House Ethics Committee orders AOC to pay a $3,000 settlement for improperly accepting free admission to the Met Gala, drawing negative press and pushing the

Georgia Rep. Mike Collins officially entered the GOP primary to challenge Ossoff in 2026, creating a credible Republican opponent and prompting a further plunge

Jon Ossoff plunges to 12%18%

- [2025-08‑02] Ossoff publicly denied any interest in a 2028 presidential campaign during a live TV interview with Jen Psaki, reinforcing market perception that he was not a viable nominee - [2025-10‑15] An Atlanta Journal‑Constitution poll showed Ossoff leading Republican primary field but with a narrow margin, underscoring a competitive Senate race and keeping the nominee odds low - [2025‑12‑03] The Cook Political Report upgraded the Georgia Senate race to “leans Democrat,” signalling that Ossoff’s re‑election prospects were improving but still far from a national presidential candidacy, cementing the low‑

Senator Mark Kelly gives a non‑committal interview on CNN, saying he will “seriously consider” a 2028 presidential run but offers no clear answer

Mark Kelly plunges to 1%49%

Senator Mark Kelly gives a non‑committal interview on CNN, saying he will “seriously consider” a 2028 presidential run but offers no clear answer

The House Ethics Committee releases a report finding AOC violated rules over Met Gala attire and free admission for her fiancé, ordering her to pay a $3,000 settlement, further

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 10%3%

The House Ethics Committee releases a report finding AOC violated rules over Met Gala attire and free admission for her fiancé, ordering her to pay a $3,000 settlement, further eroding confidence in her candidacy

Ossoff publicly says he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential bid During a Georgia interview he warned against “fantasy football” about the nomination, reinforcing traders’

Ossoff publicly says he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential bid During a Georgia interview he warned against “fantasy football” about the nomination, reinforcing traders’ belief that he would not run and pushing the

House Ethics Committee orders AOC to pay $3,000 after finding she violated rules by accepting free gala admission and under‑paying for attire

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez drops to 8%8%

House Ethics Committee orders AOC to pay $3,000 after finding she violated rules by accepting free gala admission and under‑paying for attire

AOC votes against a $500 million cut to Israel’s Iron Dome program, drawing sharp criticism from progressive groups and sparking backlash on social media

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 13%3%

AOC votes against a $500 million cut to Israel’s Iron Dome program, drawing sharp criticism from progressive groups and sparking backlash on social media

AOC tells reporters at the Munich Security Conference she is there “not because I’m running for president,” sparking immediate doubts about a 2028 bid

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez plunges to 33%17%

AOC tells reporters at the Munich Security Conference she is there “not because I’m running for president,” sparking immediate doubts about a 2028 bid

In a live televised interview Ossoff publicly declared he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential campaign, directly countering earlier rumors and causing the market to slide

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%42%

In a live televised interview Ossoff publicly declared he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential campaign, directly countering earlier rumors and causing the market to slide sharply the next day

Ossoff raises over $10 million in Q2, ending the quarter with $15.5 million cash on hand, out‑fundraising both GOP Senate challengers

Jon Ossoff rises to 5%1%

- [2025-07‑29] Rep. Mike Collins joins Rep. Buddy Carter as a second Republican candidate to run against Ossoff in 2026, intensifying the Senate race - [2025-08‑02] Ossoff’s fundraising totals for the July‑September quarter reach $12 million, reinforcing his focus on the 2026 Senate campaign rather than a presidential run - [2025‑09‑11 to 09‑15] Republican ads attack Ossoff over his stance during the federal shutdown, portraying him as vulnerable and further suppressing his nomination odds

House Ethics Committee finds AOC violated rules over Met Gala attendance and orders a $3,000 payment, drawing negative press

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 13%3%

House Ethics Committee finds AOC violated rules over Met Gala attendance and orders a $3,000 payment, drawing negative press

AOC’s campaign spends millions on digital ads and donor lists, but she avoids confirming a presidential run, prompting traders to cut odds sharply

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez plunges to 11%34%

AOC’s campaign spends millions on digital ads and donor lists, but she avoids confirming a presidential run, prompting traders to cut odds sharply

Emanuel’s week‑long swing through key early‑state battlegrounds (Wisconsin, New Hampshire, South Carolina) sparked speculation he was testing a 2028 run, pushing the market toward

Rahm Emanuel drops to 45%5%

Emanuel’s week‑long swing through key early‑state battlegrounds (Wisconsin, New Hampshire, South Carolina) sparked speculation he was testing a 2028 run, pushing the market toward ≈50 %

Beshear’s South‑Carolina “preview” tour and Meet‑the‑Press interview sparked speculation that he was eyeing a 2028 run, pushing the market up to ~50 %

Andy Beshear dips to 46%4%

Beshear’s South‑Carolina “preview” tour and Meet‑the‑Press interview sparked speculation that he was eyeing a 2028 run, pushing the market up to ~50 %

CNN reports Ossoff raises $10 million in a quarter, leaving more than $15 million in the campaign coffers, bolstering his profile ahead of a 2026 Senate race

Jon Ossoff rises to 5%1%

CNN reports Ossoff raises $10 million in a quarter, leaving more than $15 million in the campaign coffers, bolstering his profile ahead of a 2026 Senate race

Ossoff’s campaign reports a $10 million haul in Q2 fundraising, underscoring his status as a top‑tier Senate fundraiser but also fueling speculation he could eye a presidential

Jon Ossoff dips to 46%4%

Ossoff’s campaign reports a $10 million haul in Q2 fundraising, underscoring his status as a top‑tier Senate fundraiser but also fueling speculation he could eye a presidential run, prompting an initial

Ossoff’s $10 million Q2 fundraising haul highlighted his focus on a 2026 Senate re‑election campaign rather than a 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff plunges to 30%20%

Ossoff’s $10 million Q2 fundraising haul highlighted his focus on a 2026 Senate re‑election campaign rather than a 2028 presidential run

FEC data shows Ossoff raised $10 million in Q2 2025, but analysts note his fundraising surge is for his 2026 Senate re‑election, not a presidential run, reinforcing market doubts

Jon Ossoff dips to 3%1%

FEC data shows Ossoff raised $10 million in Q2 2025, but analysts note his fundraising surge is for his 2026 Senate re‑election, not a presidential run, reinforcing market doubts

AOC’s “Fighting Oligarchy” rally in Denver draws national media attention, prompting traders to bet on a possible 2028 presidential bid

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez plunges to 33%17%

AOC’s “Fighting Oligarchy” rally in Denver draws national media attention, prompting traders to bet on a possible 2028 presidential bid

Ossoff files a Q2 FEC report showing a $9.1 million fundraising haul – the largest Q2 haul by any politician that cycle, signaling strong national donor support

Jon Ossoff rises to 5%1%

Ossoff files a Q2 FEC report showing a $9.1 million fundraising haul – the largest Q2 haul by any politician that cycle, signaling strong national donor support

Ossoff tells MS NOW he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential bid, warning that “fantasy football” would distract from his Senate work

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%46%

Ossoff tells MS NOW he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential bid, warning that “fantasy football” would distract from his Senate work

Ossoff discloses a record $9.1 million Q2 fundraising haul, but the surge is framed by analysts as a defensive war chest rather than a sign of presidential ambition, contributing

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%42%

Ossoff discloses a record $9.1 million Q2 fundraising haul, but the surge is framed by analysts as a defensive war chest rather than a sign of presidential ambition, contributing to the market’s early‑July

AOC’s Q2 campaign finance filing shows a $5.7 million fundraising haul, the third‑largest among politicians that quarter, briefly boosting her perceived electability

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez plunges to 16%34%

AOC’s Q2 campaign finance filing shows a $5.7 million fundraising haul, the third‑largest among politicians that quarter, briefly boosting her perceived electability

AOC tells reporters at the Munich Security Conference she is “not running for president” and “not making any decision about a horse race,” quashing early speculation and sending

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez plunges to 33%17%

AOC tells reporters at the Munich Security Conference she is “not running for president” and “not making any decision about a horse race,” quashing early speculation and sending the market down from ~50% to the low‑30s

Ossoff reports $9.1 million Q2 fundraising, the largest of any politician that cycle

Jon Ossoff drops to 45%5%

Ossoff reports $9.1 million Q2 fundraising, the largest of any politician that cycle

Ossoff files a Q2 FEC report showing a $9.1 million fundraising haul, the largest of any politician that quarter, signaling a heavy focus on his 2026 Senate campaign

Ossoff files a Q2 FEC report showing a $9.1 million fundraising haul, the largest of any politician that quarter, signaling a heavy focus on his 2026 Senate campaign

House Ethics Committee orders AOC to pay a $3,000 settlement for improperly accepting free admission to the Met Gala, marking the first major ethics sanction against her since

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez drops to 20%13%

House Ethics Committee orders AOC to pay a $3,000 settlement for improperly accepting free admission to the Met Gala, marking the first major ethics sanction against her since taking office

Ossoff files a $9.1 M Q2 fundraising report, the largest Q2 filing to date The sudden surge in disclosed cash (and $15.5 M cash on hand) signaled that Ossoff was gearing up for a

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%46%

Ossoff files a $9.1 M Q2 fundraising report, the largest Q2 filing to date The sudden surge in disclosed cash (and $15.5 M cash on hand) signaled that Ossoff was gearing up for a costly 2026 Senate re‑election, leading the market to view a 2028 presidential run as unlikely.

Ossoff files a Q2 FEC report showing a record‑breaking $9.1 million raise, the largest quarterly haul by any politician that year

Jon Ossoff drops to 45%5%

Ossoff files a Q2 FEC report showing a record‑breaking $9.1 million raise, the largest quarterly haul by any politician that year

Ossoff publicly rules out a 2028 presidential run, saying he has “zero interest” and will focus on his Senate race

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%46%

Ossoff publicly rules out a 2028 presidential run, saying he has “zero interest” and will focus on his Senate race

Ossoff’s Q2 fundraising disclosure shows $9.1 million raised, the largest Q2 haul for any politician that year, but the surge failed to offset growing criticism over his

Jon Ossoff dips to 46%4%

Ossoff’s Q2 fundraising disclosure shows $9.1 million raised, the largest Q2 haul for any politician that year, but the surge failed to offset growing criticism over his Israel‑arms‑sale stance

Ossoff tells MS NOW he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential bid, warning against “fantasy football” with the nomination, prompting a sharp drop from the July‑11 peak

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%46%

Ossoff tells MS NOW he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential bid, warning against “fantasy football” with the nomination, prompting a sharp drop from the July‑11 peak

Initial market optimism as Shapiro’s name entered early 2028‑nominee speculation lists

Josh Shapiro drops to 45%5%

Initial market optimism as Shapiro’s name entered early 2028‑nominee speculation lists

Ossoff says he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential bid, warning against “fantasy football” speculation

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%46%

Ossoff says he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential bid, warning against “fantasy football” speculation

Sen. Jon Ossoff tells MS NOW he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential bid, warning against “fantasy football” with the nomination

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%46%

Sen. Jon Ossoff tells MS NOW he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential bid, warning against “fantasy football” with the nomination

Ossoff says he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential run, urging Democrats to focus on midterms The senator’s blunt dismissal of any 2028 ambitions on MS NOW sparked a sharp

Ossoff says he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential run, urging Democrats to focus on midterms The senator’s blunt dismissal of any 2028 ambitions on MS NOW sparked a sharp drop in his nomination odds, driving the market down from its July 11 peak .

Shapiro hints at a 2028 presidential bid while stressing focus on Pennsylvania He told reporters he wanted “to be a part of that conversation” about the 2028 nomination but said

Shapiro hints at a 2028 presidential bid while stressing focus on Pennsylvania He told reporters he wanted “to be a part of that conversation” about the 2028 nomination but said his immediate priority was his own re‑election, sparking early optimism and a jump to ~50 %

Shapiro hints at a 2028 White House bid, sparking speculation that he could become the Democratic nominee

Josh Shapiro plunges to 30%20%

Shapiro hints at a 2028 White House bid, sparking speculation that he could become the Democratic nominee

Ossoff says he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential run The senator’s explicit denial that he would seek the nomination removed him from serious contention, triggering the

Jon Ossoff plunges to 4%46%

Ossoff says he has “zero interest” in a 2028 presidential run The senator’s explicit denial that he would seek the nomination removed him from serious contention, triggering the market’s largest single‑day drop.

Newsom is called a “presidential candidate” by cheering voters during his South‑Carolina tour, the first in‑state appearance of any 2028 hopeful

Gavin Newsom rises to 22%4%

Newsom is called a “presidential candidate” by cheering voters during his South‑Carolina tour, the first in‑state appearance of any 2028 hopeful

AOC tells reporters at the Munich Security Conference she is “not running for president,” quashing early speculation about a 2028 bid

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez plunges to 16%22%

AOC tells reporters at the Munich Security Conference she is “not running for president,” quashing early speculation about a 2028 bid

Report that AOC is under investigation for allegedly employing an illegal immigrant, lowering her nomination odds to 10.4 % in market odds tables

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 16%2%

Report that AOC is under investigation for allegedly employing an illegal immigrant, lowering her nomination odds to 10.4 % in market odds tables

AOC’s media team releases a campaign‑style video that fuels speculation about a 2028 presidential bid, prompting a short‑term

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez plunges to 35%15%

AOC’s media team releases a campaign‑style video that fuels speculation about a 2028 presidential bid, prompting a short‑term

Ossoff votes against Bernie Sanders’ resolutions to withhold military aid to Israel His break with a prominent progressive effort raised doubts about his alignment with the

Jon Ossoff dips to 3%1%

Ossoff votes against Bernie Sanders’ resolutions to withhold military aid to Israel His break with a prominent progressive effort raised doubts about his alignment with the party’s left wing, contributing to a modest decline.

Fox News analyst says AOC could win 2028 presidency after poll shows her ahead of Vice President Vance The independent poll cited by The Independent sparked a surge in optimism,

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez plunges to 33%17%

Fox News analyst says AOC could win 2028 presidency after poll shows her ahead of Vice President Vance The independent poll cited by The Independent sparked a surge in optimism, pushing the market up to its early‑July peak .

Fox News analyst cites poll showing AOC would beat Vice President JD Vance in a hypothetical 2028 face‑off, sparking a brief rally in market odds

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez drops to 45%5%

Fox News analyst cites poll showing AOC would beat Vice President JD Vance in a hypothetical 2028 face‑off, sparking a brief rally in market odds

Fox News analyst says AOC could win 2028 presidency after poll shows her ahead of Vice President Vance The Independent reported that a poll by The Argument and Verasight placed

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez plunges to 30%20%

Fox News analyst says AOC could win 2028 presidency after poll shows her ahead of Vice President Vance The Independent reported that a poll by The Argument and Verasight placed AOC at 51 % against Vance, prompting a Fox commentator to acknowledge her viability and briefly boosting market confidence .

AOC appears on a “Fighting Oligarchy” tour with Bernie Sanders, sparking speculation about a 2028 Senate or presidential bid

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez dips to 11%2%

AOC appears on a “Fighting Oligarchy” tour with Bernie Sanders, sparking speculation about a 2028 Senate or presidential bid

AOC tells reporters at the Munich Security Conference she is “not running for president” and has “made no decision about a horse race,” deflecting early‑2025 speculation about a

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez plunges to 18%33%

AOC tells reporters at the Munich Security Conference she is “not running for president” and has “made no decision about a horse race,” deflecting early‑2025 speculation about a 2028 bid

“‘Border czar’ Tom Homan calls AOC the ‘dumbest congresswoman ever’ and accuses her of illegal immigrant‑education activities”

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez drops to 38%12%

“‘Border czar’ Tom Homan calls AOC the ‘dumbest congresswoman ever’ and accuses her of illegal immigrant‑education activities”

“‘Border czar’ Tom Homan calls AOC the ‘dumbest congresswoman ever’ and threatens legal trouble for her immigrant‑rights work”

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez plunges to 16%34%

“‘Border czar’ Tom Homan calls AOC the ‘dumbest congresswoman ever’ and threatens legal trouble for her immigrant‑rights work”