Trump won, now what?
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
44%chance
0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
14%chance
1%
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
26%chance
0%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
27%chance
0.5%
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0%
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
35%chance
3.6%
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
4%chance
1.8%
Trump impeached by end of 2026?
12%chance
0.5%
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
0%chance
0.8%
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
7%chance
0%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
2%chance
0.1%
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?
13%chance
6.3%
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
15%chance
6.5%
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
4%chance
1.3%
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
23%chance
5.5%
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
1%chance
0.5%
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
46%chance
0%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
39%chance
1%
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
51%chance
1.7%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
44%chance
0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
14%chance
1%
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
26%chance
0%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
27%chance
0.5%
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0%
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
35%chance
3.6%
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
4%chance
1.8%
Trump impeached by end of 2026?
12%chance
0.5%
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
0%chance
0.8%
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
7%chance
0%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
2%chance
0.1%
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?
13%chance
6.3%
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
15%chance
6.5%
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
4%chance
1.3%
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
23%chance
5.5%
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
1%chance
0.5%
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
46%chance
0%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
39%chance
1%
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
51%chance
1.7%
