A federal judge issued a temporary restraining order on September 24 restoring White House access for CNN, MS NOW, and Politico after President Trump announced the ban days earlier, citing due process concerns and rejecting national security justifications. The Trump administration initially showed signs of noncompliance but later complied with the 14-day order, shifting the dispute into ongoing litigation over a potential preliminary injunction. With the case focused on procedural challenges rather than repeated violations of a final ruling, appeals available, and no confirmed contempt proceedings underway, traders assign a 75.5% probability that the administration will not face a contempt holding by October 31.