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Promessas De Campanha previsões e probabilidades

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Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

47%

$9.7K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

84%

$2.7K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

2

Ends em 4 meses

Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?

Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?

37%

$12 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

50%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$99.6K Vol.

$223K Liq.

4

Ends em 6 meses

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Gallrein 9%+

$197K Vol.

$82.4K Liq.

7

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$19.6K Vol.

$43.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

CA-19 House Election Winner

CA-19 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$38.8K Vol.

$59.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

92%

Republican Party

$5.1K Vol.

$35.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?

11%

$46.5K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

DE-AL House Election Winner

DE-AL House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$2.8K Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?

Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?

9%

$1.1K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

46%

UTJ

$4 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 4 meses

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

84%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$126K Vol.

$74.4K Liq.

36

Ends em 5 meses

OR-05 House Election Winner

OR-05 House Election Winner

87%

Democratic Party

$2.1K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$4.1K Vol.

$41.9K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

88%

Iowa

$727 Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

AK-AL House Election Winner

AK-AL House Election Winner

81%

Republican Party

$9.9K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Will Valve add first CS2 operation by...?

Will Valve add first CS2 operation by...?

4%

June 30

$2.1K Vol.

$237 Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

88%

Lasher <5%

$90.5K Vol.

$43.0K Liq.

1

Ends há 4 dias

IN-06 House Election Winner

IN-06 House Election Winner

95%

Republican Party

$19.3K Vol.

$46.0K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Promessas De Campanha that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $678K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Gallrein 9%+. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Promessas De Campanha predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.