South Carolina’s selection as the first 2028 Democratic primary contest on January 22 has elevated its influence over early positioning, with Black voters comprising a large share of the electorate. Trader odds remain fragmented because no major candidate has declared and national surveys show a wide-open field led by figures such as Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Potential contenders including Raphael Warnock, Cory Booker, Jon Ossoff, and Ro Khanna have visited the state, yet no one has consolidated support among key voting blocs or secured high-profile local endorsements. The absence of formal announcements, limited state-specific polling, and the extended timeline before voting keep probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid teens. Clear separation would likely follow candidate entries, targeted South Carolina polling, or shifts in national momentum that favor candidates with stronger ties to the state’s Democratic base.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRaphael Warnock 14%
Cory Booker 11.8%
Jon Ossoff 11%
J.B. Pritzker 11%
$13,225 Vol.
$13,225 Vol.
Jan 22, 2028
Raphael Warnock
14%
Cory Booker
12%
Jon Ossoff
11%
J.B. Pritzker
11%
Kamala Harris
9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Gavin Newsom
6%
Michelle Obama
6%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Ro Khanna
5%
Andy Beshear
4%
Wes Moore
4%
Rahm Emanuel
4%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Jon Stewart
4%
Bernie Sanders
3%
James Talarico
2%
Mark Kelly
1%
Roy Cooper
1%
Pete Buttigieg
1%
Raphael Warnock 14%
Cory Booker 11.8%
Jon Ossoff 11%
J.B. Pritzker 11%
$13,225 Vol.
$13,225 Vol.
Jan 22, 2028
Raphael Warnock
$391 Vol.
14%
Cory Booker
$476 Vol.
12%
Jon Ossoff
$175 Vol.
11%
J.B. Pritzker
$276 Vol.
11%
Kamala Harris
$6,255 Vol.
9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$281 Vol.
7%
Gavin Newsom
$2,593 Vol.
6%
Michelle Obama
$166 Vol.
6%
Josh Shapiro
$151 Vol.
5%
Ro Khanna
$156 Vol.
5%
Andy Beshear
$156 Vol.
4%
Wes Moore
$175 Vol.
4%
Rahm Emanuel
$181 Vol.
4%
Stephen A. Smith
$146 Vol.
4%
Jon Stewart
$267 Vol.
4%
Bernie Sanders
$263 Vol.
3%
James Talarico
$206 Vol.
2%
Mark Kelly
$576 Vol.
1%
Roy Cooper
$156 Vol.
1%
Pete Buttigieg
$178 Vol.
1%
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.South Carolina’s selection as the first 2028 Democratic primary contest on January 22 has elevated its influence over early positioning, with Black voters comprising a large share of the electorate. Trader odds remain fragmented because no major candidate has declared and national surveys show a wide-open field led by figures such as Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Potential contenders including Raphael Warnock, Cory Booker, Jon Ossoff, and Ro Khanna have visited the state, yet no one has consolidated support among key voting blocs or secured high-profile local endorsements. The absence of formal announcements, limited state-specific polling, and the extended timeline before voting keep probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid teens. Clear separation would likely follow candidate entries, targeted South Carolina polling, or shifts in national momentum that favor candidates with stronger ties to the state’s Democratic base.
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volume
$13,225End Date
Jan 22, 2028Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.South Carolina’s selection as the first 2028 Democratic primary contest on January 22 has elevated its influence over early positioning, with Black voters comprising a large share of the electorate. Trader odds remain fragmented because no major candidate has declared and national surveys show a wide-open field led by figures such as Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Potential contenders including Raphael Warnock, Cory Booker, Jon Ossoff, and Ro Khanna have visited the state, yet no one has consolidated support among key voting blocs or secured high-profile local endorsements. The absence of formal announcements, limited state-specific polling, and the extended timeline before voting keep probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid teens. Clear separation would likely follow candidate entries, targeted South Carolina polling, or shifts in national momentum that favor candidates with stronger ties to the state’s Democratic base.
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$13,225End Date
Jan 22, 2028Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Carolina’s selection as the first 2028 Democratic primary contest on January 22 has elevated its influence over early positioning, with Black voters comprising a large share of the electorate. Trader odds remain fragmented because no major candidate has declared and national surveys show a wide-open field led by figures such as Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Potential contenders including Raphael Warnock, Cory Booker, Jon Ossoff, and Ro Khanna have visited the state, yet no one has consolidated support among key voting blocs or secured high-profile local endorsements. The absence of formal announcements, limited state-specific polling, and the extended timeline before voting keep probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid teens. Clear separation would likely follow candidate entries, targeted South Carolina polling, or shifts in national momentum that favor candidates with stronger ties to the state’s Democratic base.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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