The stalled progress in U.S.-Russia diplomacy following the August 2025 Alaska summit has shaped trader views, with peace talks collapsing over territorial disputes and the Ukraine conflict intensifying through mid-2026. This backdrop underpins the strong consensus on no further bilateral meeting before year-end, as follow-up contacts have remained limited to calls and unfulfilled plans. China leads alternative locations due to deepening Moscow-Beijing coordination and Putin's established pattern of high-level engagement with Xi Jinping. Low probabilities for the United States or Russia reflect sensitivities around hosting amid unresolved issues, while neutral venues like Switzerland or Turkey show minimal movement given the absence of fresh diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled multilateral events likely to force a summit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 65%
China 31%
United States 1.6%
Russia 1.3%
$419,442 Vol.
$419,442 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
65%
China
31%
United States
2%
Russia
1%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Switzerland
1%
Other EU country
<1%
Turkey
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Finland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 65%
China 31%
United States 1.6%
Russia 1.3%
$419,442 Vol.
$419,442 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$80,940 Vol.
65%
China
$52,862 Vol.
31%
United States
$19,867 Vol.
2%
Russia
$64,252 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$15,080 Vol.
1%
Other
$15,719 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$18,299 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$13,658 Vol.
<1%
Turkey
$20,677 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$13,643 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$16,301 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$12,874 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$15,740 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$21,054 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$38,475 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The stalled progress in U.S.-Russia diplomacy following the August 2025 Alaska summit has shaped trader views, with peace talks collapsing over territorial disputes and the Ukraine conflict intensifying through mid-2026. This backdrop underpins the strong consensus on no further bilateral meeting before year-end, as follow-up contacts have remained limited to calls and unfulfilled plans. China leads alternative locations due to deepening Moscow-Beijing coordination and Putin's established pattern of high-level engagement with Xi Jinping. Low probabilities for the United States or Russia reflect sensitivities around hosting amid unresolved issues, while neutral venues like Switzerland or Turkey show minimal movement given the absence of fresh diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled multilateral events likely to force a summit.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$419,442End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The stalled progress in U.S.-Russia diplomacy following the August 2025 Alaska summit has shaped trader views, with peace talks collapsing over territorial disputes and the Ukraine conflict intensifying through mid-2026. This backdrop underpins the strong consensus on no further bilateral meeting before year-end, as follow-up contacts have remained limited to calls and unfulfilled plans. China leads alternative locations due to deepening Moscow-Beijing coordination and Putin's established pattern of high-level engagement with Xi Jinping. Low probabilities for the United States or Russia reflect sensitivities around hosting amid unresolved issues, while neutral venues like Switzerland or Turkey show minimal movement given the absence of fresh diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled multilateral events likely to force a summit.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$419,442End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The stalled progress in U.S.-Russia diplomacy following the August 2025 Alaska summit has shaped trader views, with peace talks collapsing over territorial disputes and the Ukraine conflict intensifying through mid-2026. This backdrop underpins the strong consensus on no further bilateral meeting before year-end, as follow-up contacts have remained limited to calls and unfulfilled plans. China leads alternative locations due to deepening Moscow-Beijing coordination and Putin's established pattern of high-level engagement with Xi Jinping. Low probabilities for the United States or Russia reflect sensitivities around hosting amid unresolved issues, while neutral venues like Switzerland or Turkey show minimal movement given the absence of fresh diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled multilateral events likely to force a summit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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