Skip to main content

Trump Presidency predictions & odds

·
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

7%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$929K today

$12.8K Liq.

51

Ends in 8 months

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

90%

No meeting by June 30

$6M Vol.

$236K Liq.

28

Ends in about 2 months

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

7%

December 31, 2026

$663K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

16

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$432K Vol.

$150K Liq.

28

Ends in 8 months

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

16%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$34.4K Liq.

35

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

13%

$709K Vol.

$59.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$31.7K Liq.

127

Ends in 8 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

10%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

357

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$8M Vol.

$57.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

6%

December 31, 2026

$108K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

20

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

11%

December 31

$14M Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

1,177

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

6%

June 30

$592K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

38

Ends in about 2 months

Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

50%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

$141K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$560K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

28

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

14%

↑ 46%

$4.8K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$7.3K Vol.

$180 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

6%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Trump Presidency.

Polymarket currently hosts 17 active markets for Trump Presidency that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $42.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 11% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Trump Presidency predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.