Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% chance of President Trump facing impeachment before January 20, 2029, primarily driven by expectations of Democrats regaining a House majority in the November 2026 midterms, which would enable articles of impeachment via simple majority vote. House Speaker Mike Johnson warned in December 2025 that a Democratic takeover would prompt immediate impeachment efforts, a view echoed in recent GOP commentary amid tightening midterm races. Over the past month, Democrats have revived impeachment discussions following Trump's April threats against Iran and unpopular tariffs, with outlets reporting bolder rhetoric and filings like H.Res.939 in the 119th Congress. While Senate conviction remains unlikely without a two-thirds supermajority, House action alone resolves the market Yes; polls show competitive battleground seats as key tipping factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$62,140 Vol.
$62,140 Vol.
Jan 20, 2029
$62,140 Vol.
$62,140 Vol.
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% chance of President Trump facing impeachment before January 20, 2029, primarily driven by expectations of Democrats regaining a House majority in the November 2026 midterms, which would enable articles of impeachment via simple majority vote. House Speaker Mike Johnson warned in December 2025 that a Democratic takeover would prompt immediate impeachment efforts, a view echoed in recent GOP commentary amid tightening midterm races. Over the past month, Democrats have revived impeachment discussions following Trump's April threats against Iran and unpopular tariffs, with outlets reporting bolder rhetoric and filings like H.Res.939 in the 119th Congress. While Senate conviction remains unlikely without a two-thirds supermajority, House action alone resolves the market Yes; polls show competitive battleground seats as key tipping factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$62,140End Date
Jan 20, 2029Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% chance of President Trump facing impeachment before January 20, 2029, primarily driven by expectations of Democrats regaining a House majority in the November 2026 midterms, which would enable articles of impeachment via simple majority vote. House Speaker Mike Johnson warned in December 2025 that a Democratic takeover would prompt immediate impeachment efforts, a view echoed in recent GOP commentary amid tightening midterm races. Over the past month, Democrats have revived impeachment discussions following Trump's April threats against Iran and unpopular tariffs, with outlets reporting bolder rhetoric and filings like H.Res.939 in the 119th Congress. While Senate conviction remains unlikely without a two-thirds supermajority, House action alone resolves the market Yes; polls show competitive battleground seats as key tipping factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$62,140End Date
Jan 20, 2029Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% chance of President Trump facing impeachment before January 20, 2029, primarily driven by expectations of Democrats regaining a House majority in the November 2026 midterms, which would enable articles of impeachment via simple majority vote. House Speaker Mike Johnson warned in December 2025 that a Democratic takeover would prompt immediate impeachment efforts, a view echoed in recent GOP commentary amid tightening midterm races. Over the past month, Democrats have revived impeachment discussions following Trump's April threats against Iran and unpopular tariffs, with outlets reporting bolder rhetoric and filings like H.Res.939 in the 119th Congress. While Senate conviction remains unlikely without a two-thirds supermajority, House action alone resolves the market Yes; polls show competitive battleground seats as key tipping factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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