Recent Democratic efforts to advance impeachment articles, including Rep. Steve Cohen’s introduction of 26 articles on September 24 citing military actions in Iran and Venezuela, immigration enforcement practices, and alleged abuses of power, have reinforced trader focus on congressional dynamics. A prior resolution by Rep. Al Green was tabled in mid-September with limited Democratic support, yet party leaders have signaled continued oversight and potential proceedings if Democrats gain House control in the November 2026 midterms. Forecasts showing Democratic advantages on the generic ballot underpin the 69.5% implied probability for a House vote before January 2029, reflecting the institutional threshold of a simple majority and historical patterns of opposition-party scrutiny rather than any confirmed path to Senate conviction.
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