**Apvienotais saraksts (AS)**, the alliance led by Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, holds a commanding lead in September 2026 polling for the October 3 Saeima election, with support near 23-24% and projections for the largest seat share. This reflects sustained gains for the regionalist, green-conservative bloc amid declines for coalition partners such as Jaunā Vienotība (JV), which hovers near the 5% threshold. Other contenders including LPV, PRO, SV, NA, and ZZS trail in the 9-13% range in recent surveys from SKDS and Latvijas Fakti. Traders price the frontrunner status into the 94.8% consensus, consistent with AS's position as the only major party showing consistent upward momentum into the final week. A late surge by one or more rivals, shifts among undecided voters, or unusually low turnout among AS supporters remain the primary factors that could narrow or reverse the projected plurality before election day.