Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty over the 2028 Republican vice presidential slot, with Rand Paul, Joe Kent, and Mike Pence clustered within a narrow range and no candidate exceeding 37 percent. The early stage of the cycle, absent a confirmed presidential frontrunner or declared running-mate preferences, sustains this competition among senators, governors, and other party figures. Midterm results, congressional leadership shifts, and primary positioning could later separate contenders by clarifying alliances or highlighting electoral strengths in key states.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRepublican VP Nominee 2028
Mike Pence 32.4%
Marco Rubio 22%
Eric Trump 18.7%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 15.0%
$13,852 Vol.
$13,852 Vol.
Donald Trump
6%
J.D. Vance
10%
Marco Rubio
26%
Tulsi Gabbard
6%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
2%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
5%
Byron Donalds
6%
Elise Stefanik
6%
Josh Hawley
5%
Ted Cruz
4%
Elon Musk
3%
Matt Gaetz
4%
Katie Britt
6%
John Thune
2%
Kristi Noem
10%
Mike Pence
32%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ivanka Trump
27%
Tom Brady
4%
Rand Paul
21%
Steve Bannon
4%
Erika Kirk
3%
Kim Kardashian
7%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
15%
Thomas Massie
12%
Eric Trump
19%
Joe Kent
21%
Pete Hegseth
2%
Mike Pence 32.4%
Marco Rubio 22%
Eric Trump 18.7%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 15.0%
$13,852 Vol.
$13,852 Vol.
Donald Trump
6%
J.D. Vance
10%
Marco Rubio
26%
Tulsi Gabbard
6%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
2%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
5%
Byron Donalds
6%
Elise Stefanik
6%
Josh Hawley
5%
Ted Cruz
4%
Elon Musk
3%
Matt Gaetz
4%
Katie Britt
6%
John Thune
2%
Kristi Noem
10%
Mike Pence
32%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ivanka Trump
27%
Tom Brady
4%
Rand Paul
21%
Steve Bannon
4%
Erika Kirk
3%
Kim Kardashian
7%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
15%
Thomas Massie
12%
Eric Trump
19%
Joe Kent
21%
Pete Hegseth
2%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty over the 2028 Republican vice presidential slot, with Rand Paul, Joe Kent, and Mike Pence clustered within a narrow range and no candidate exceeding 37 percent. The early stage of the cycle, absent a confirmed presidential frontrunner or declared running-mate preferences, sustains this competition among senators, governors, and other party figures. Midterm results, congressional leadership shifts, and primary positioning could later separate contenders by clarifying alliances or highlighting electoral strengths in key states.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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