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icon for MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Donavan McKinney 100.0%

Shri Thanedar <1%

Shelby Campbell <1%

Anthony Carbonaro <1%

Polymarket

$1,791,988 Vol.

Donavan McKinney 100.0%

Shri Thanedar <1%

Shelby Campbell <1%

Anthony Carbonaro <1%

Polymarket

$1,791,988 Vol.

icon for Shri Thanedar

Shri Thanedar

$832,328 Vol.

No

icon for Donavan McKinney

Donavan McKinney

$953,890 Vol.

Yes

icon for Shelby Campbell

Shelby Campbell

$1,831 Vol.

No

icon for Anthony Carbonaro

Anthony Carbonaro

$2,072 Vol.

No

icon for Nazmul Hassan

Nazmul Hassan

$1,867 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District after defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4, 2026 primary. The state representative’s narrow victory reflected strong support from progressive organizations, labor unions, and elected officials in a solidly Democratic Detroit-area seat. McKinney’s campaign emphasized economic security, union priorities, and local organizing experience, drawing endorsements that helped consolidate turnout among key voting blocs. With results called at roughly 52 percent to 48 percent, trader consensus now treats McKinney as the clear nominee. Certification, any late recount, or unforeseen legal challenges remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome before the general election.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,791,988
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District after defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4, 2026 primary. The state representative’s narrow victory reflected strong support from progressive organizations, labor unions, and elected officials in a solidly Democratic Detroit-area seat. McKinney’s campaign emphasized economic security, union priorities, and local organizing experience, drawing endorsements that helped consolidate turnout among key voting blocs. With results called at roughly 52 percent to 48 percent, trader consensus now treats McKinney as the clear nominee. Certification, any late recount, or unforeseen legal challenges remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome before the general election.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,791,988
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Donavan McKinney" at 100%, followed by "Shri Thanedar" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Donavan McKinney" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shri Thanedar" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.