Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until May 2028 following his 2023 re-election victory, with no snap election called despite occasional speculation. Traders' 89.5% consensus on "No" reflects his firm grip on power, reinforced by recent actions including April 29 rejection of criticism over Kurdish peace talks and May declarations emphasizing diplomatic autonomy from NATO and the EU. Unconfirmed health rumors persist but official denials and active public engagements, such as January's "year of reform" agenda, signal continuity. Constitutional amendment discussions for post-term eligibility remain distant, while jailed opposition figures like Ekrem İmamoğlu limit challenges ahead of 2028 polls. Late scandals, health crises, or no-confidence triggers could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until May 2028 following his 2023 re-election victory, with no snap election called despite occasional speculation. Traders' 89.5% consensus on "No" reflects his firm grip on power, reinforced by recent actions including April 29 rejection of criticism over Kurdish peace talks and May declarations emphasizing diplomatic autonomy from NATO and the EU. Unconfirmed health rumors persist but official denials and active public engagements, such as January's "year of reform" agenda, signal continuity. Constitutional amendment discussions for post-term eligibility remain distant, while jailed opposition figures like Ekrem İmamoğlu limit challenges ahead of 2028 polls. Late scandals, health crises, or no-confidence triggers could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$348,914End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until May 2028 following his 2023 re-election victory, with no snap election called despite occasional speculation. Traders' 89.5% consensus on "No" reflects his firm grip on power, reinforced by recent actions including April 29 rejection of criticism over Kurdish peace talks and May declarations emphasizing diplomatic autonomy from NATO and the EU. Unconfirmed health rumors persist but official denials and active public engagements, such as January's "year of reform" agenda, signal continuity. Constitutional amendment discussions for post-term eligibility remain distant, while jailed opposition figures like Ekrem İmamoğlu limit challenges ahead of 2028 polls. Late scandals, health crises, or no-confidence triggers could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$348,914End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until May 2028 following his 2023 re-election victory, with no snap election called despite occasional speculation. Traders' 89.5% consensus on "No" reflects his firm grip on power, reinforced by recent actions including April 29 rejection of criticism over Kurdish peace talks and May declarations emphasizing diplomatic autonomy from NATO and the EU. Unconfirmed health rumors persist but official denials and active public engagements, such as January's "year of reform" agenda, signal continuity. Constitutional amendment discussions for post-term eligibility remain distant, while jailed opposition figures like Ekrem İmamoğlu limit challenges ahead of 2028 polls. Late scandals, health crises, or no-confidence triggers could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions