Taiwan President Lai Ching-te remains firmly in office amid ongoing cross-strait tensions with China, with traders pricing an 89% chance he serves through December 31, 2026, reflecting the high constitutional barriers to removal—requiring a three-quarters legislative vote for impeachment followed by Constitutional Court approval. No such proceedings have materialized, and recent diplomatic assertiveness underscores his stability: on May 12, Lai thanked the U.S. for defense aid while addressing the Copenhagen Democracy Summit on Taiwan's sovereignty; earlier in May, he completed a state visit to Eswatini despite Beijing's overflight pressures. Defense budget debates with opposition parties persist but show no existential threat to his presidency, whose term extends to 2028.