Lai Ching-te began a standard four-year presidential term in May 2024 that extends into 2028, with the next election scheduled that year. An opposition-led impeachment process advanced through the Legislative Yuan in late 2025 but failed to secure the required two-thirds supermajority in the May 2026 floor vote, leaving the president in office. Recent polls show approval ratings holding near 51 percent amid ongoing legislative gridlock over defense spending and other priorities. No verified reports indicate health concerns, resignation plans, or other removal pathways gaining traction before the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 96.4 percent for Lai remaining in office reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of near-term catalysts for departure. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden medical event, major corruption revelation, or unexpected cross-strait escalation could still shift outcomes, though such scenarios lack current supporting evidence.