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US/Israel strikes Iran by...?
January 11
2%
January 12
12%
$2m Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
32%
chance
Yes
No
$7m Vol.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
40%
$3m Vol.
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
January 10
3%
77%
$1m Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
16%
$883k Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
52%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
47%
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
68%
January 13
76%
$906k Vol.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
60%
$969k Vol.
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
1%
$850k Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
54%
$958k Vol.
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
48%
$287k Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$988k Vol.
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
January 31
10%
June 30
35%
$268k Vol.
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by January 31?
Nuclear
Oil/Gas
25%
$46k Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
5%
$42k Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
$31k Vol.
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
March 31, 2026
59%
June 30, 2026
67%
$4m Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$434k Vol.
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu
55%
Naftali Bennett
37%
$659k Vol.
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