Israeli government actions have accelerated administrative integration of West Bank territory through expanded land registration, settlement approvals, and transfers of oversight from military to civilian ministries since February 2026. These steps have deepened de facto control over large portions of Area C without a formal declaration of sovereignty. U.S. opposition to official annexation remains consistent, while coalition partners continue advocating for maximum territorial incorporation. Market pricing reflects low implied probability for any official annexation by mid-2026, shaped by diplomatic constraints, absence of Knesset legislation, and focus on incremental measures that avoid triggering international escalation. Resolution hinges on whether any explicit sovereignty extension occurs within the defined window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Israel annex any territory by...?
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
$433,654 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
4%
December 31, 2026
18%
$433,654 Vol.
June 30, 2026
$171,429 Vol.
4%
December 31, 2026
$11,972 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli government actions have accelerated administrative integration of West Bank territory through expanded land registration, settlement approvals, and transfers of oversight from military to civilian ministries since February 2026. These steps have deepened de facto control over large portions of Area C without a formal declaration of sovereignty. U.S. opposition to official annexation remains consistent, while coalition partners continue advocating for maximum territorial incorporation. Market pricing reflects low implied probability for any official annexation by mid-2026, shaped by diplomatic constraints, absence of Knesset legislation, and focus on incremental measures that avoid triggering international escalation. Resolution hinges on whether any explicit sovereignty extension occurs within the defined window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 24, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Volume
$433,654End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
Nov 24, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli government actions have accelerated administrative integration of West Bank territory through expanded land registration, settlement approvals, and transfers of oversight from military to civilian ministries since February 2026. These steps have deepened de facto control over large portions of Area C without a formal declaration of sovereignty. U.S. opposition to official annexation remains consistent, while coalition partners continue advocating for maximum territorial incorporation. Market pricing reflects low implied probability for any official annexation by mid-2026, shaped by diplomatic constraints, absence of Knesset legislation, and focus on incremental measures that avoid triggering international escalation. Resolution hinges on whether any explicit sovereignty extension occurs within the defined window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$433,654End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
Nov 24, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli government actions have accelerated administrative integration of West Bank territory through expanded land registration, settlement approvals, and transfers of oversight from military to civilian ministries since February 2026. These steps have deepened de facto control over large portions of Area C without a formal declaration of sovereignty. U.S. opposition to official annexation remains consistent, while coalition partners continue advocating for maximum territorial incorporation. Market pricing reflects low implied probability for any official annexation by mid-2026, shaped by diplomatic constraints, absence of Knesset legislation, and focus on incremental measures that avoid triggering international escalation. Resolution hinges on whether any explicit sovereignty extension occurs within the defined window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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