Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88% implied probability against Israel formally annexing West Bank territory before 2027, anchored by the absence of any official sovereignty extension despite accelerated de facto measures. In recent weeks, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich unveiled plans for annexing strategic areas, while the government approved 34 new settlements in April and a $270 million Israeli-only roads project this month, alongside February's land registration as state property—steps condemned by the EU, UN, and nearly 20 countries as creeping annexation. However, U.S. opposition under President Trump, demographic concerns over Palestinian citizenship, and international diplomatic pressures have blocked formal Knesset action or legal application of Israeli law, with focus remaining on security control amid ongoing regional conflicts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
$67,653 Vol.
$67,653 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$67,653 Vol.
$67,653 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88% implied probability against Israel formally annexing West Bank territory before 2027, anchored by the absence of any official sovereignty extension despite accelerated de facto measures. In recent weeks, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich unveiled plans for annexing strategic areas, while the government approved 34 new settlements in April and a $270 million Israeli-only roads project this month, alongside February's land registration as state property—steps condemned by the EU, UN, and nearly 20 countries as creeping annexation. However, U.S. opposition under President Trump, demographic concerns over Palestinian citizenship, and international diplomatic pressures have blocked formal Knesset action or legal application of Israeli law, with focus remaining on security control amid ongoing regional conflicts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
Volume
$67,653End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88% implied probability against Israel formally annexing West Bank territory before 2027, anchored by the absence of any official sovereignty extension despite accelerated de facto measures. In recent weeks, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich unveiled plans for annexing strategic areas, while the government approved 34 new settlements in April and a $270 million Israeli-only roads project this month, alongside February's land registration as state property—steps condemned by the EU, UN, and nearly 20 countries as creeping annexation. However, U.S. opposition under President Trump, demographic concerns over Palestinian citizenship, and international diplomatic pressures have blocked formal Knesset action or legal application of Israeli law, with focus remaining on security control amid ongoing regional conflicts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$67,653End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88% implied probability against Israel formally annexing West Bank territory before 2027, anchored by the absence of any official sovereignty extension despite accelerated de facto measures. In recent weeks, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich unveiled plans for annexing strategic areas, while the government approved 34 new settlements in April and a $270 million Israeli-only roads project this month, alongside February's land registration as state property—steps condemned by the EU, UN, and nearly 20 countries as creeping annexation. However, U.S. opposition under President Trump, demographic concerns over Palestinian citizenship, and international diplomatic pressures have blocked formal Knesset action or legal application of Israeli law, with focus remaining on security control amid ongoing regional conflicts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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