Israel’s government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank areas through settlement expansion, land registration processes, outpost legalization, and infrastructure projects, including recent E1 tenders and Area A seizures ahead of October 2026 elections. These steps entrench Israeli administration and facts on the ground without a formal sovereignty declaration. Netanyahu has balanced far-right coalition pressure for deeper integration against U.S. and international opposition to overt annexation, which could trigger sanctions or diplomatic isolation. Traders assign a 94.5% probability to no formal annexation before 2027 because legal sovereignty moves remain constrained by electoral timing, external relations, and a preference for incremental bureaucratic changes over high-profile declarations that risk reversal or escalation.