The ICC arrest warrant issued against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza remains active, though enforcement hinges on cooperation from Rome Statute parties. The United States, which does not recognize the court's jurisdiction, has intensified sanctions on ICC officials and pressed member states to withdraw, with President Trump explicitly stating Netanyahu will not face arrest during his planned early September 2026 UN General Assembly visit to New York. NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani retreated from campaign pledges to detain him, acknowledging local authorities lack power. Separate Turkish domestic warrants and an Interpol red notice request add legal pressure, but Netanyahu has signaled special forces protection and skipped events in ICC member states like Switzerland. These diplomatic and jurisdictional barriers shape trader assessments of near-term arrest risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$24,689 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
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December 31
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September 30
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December 31
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ICC arrest warrant issued against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza remains active, though enforcement hinges on cooperation from Rome Statute parties. The United States, which does not recognize the court's jurisdiction, has intensified sanctions on ICC officials and pressed member states to withdraw, with President Trump explicitly stating Netanyahu will not face arrest during his planned early September 2026 UN General Assembly visit to New York. NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani retreated from campaign pledges to detain him, acknowledging local authorities lack power. Separate Turkish domestic warrants and an Interpol red notice request add legal pressure, but Netanyahu has signaled special forces protection and skipped events in ICC member states like Switzerland. These diplomatic and jurisdictional barriers shape trader assessments of near-term arrest risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Volume
$24,689End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ICC arrest warrant issued against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza remains active, though enforcement hinges on cooperation from Rome Statute parties. The United States, which does not recognize the court's jurisdiction, has intensified sanctions on ICC officials and pressed member states to withdraw, with President Trump explicitly stating Netanyahu will not face arrest during his planned early September 2026 UN General Assembly visit to New York. NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani retreated from campaign pledges to detain him, acknowledging local authorities lack power. Separate Turkish domestic warrants and an Interpol red notice request add legal pressure, but Netanyahu has signaled special forces protection and skipped events in ICC member states like Switzerland. These diplomatic and jurisdictional barriers shape trader assessments of near-term arrest risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,689End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ICC arrest warrant issued against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza remains active, though enforcement hinges on cooperation from Rome Statute parties. The United States, which does not recognize the court's jurisdiction, has intensified sanctions on ICC officials and pressed member states to withdraw, with President Trump explicitly stating Netanyahu will not face arrest during his planned early September 2026 UN General Assembly visit to New York. NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani retreated from campaign pledges to detain him, acknowledging local authorities lack power. Separate Turkish domestic warrants and an Interpol red notice request add legal pressure, but Netanyahu has signaled special forces protection and skipped events in ICC member states like Switzerland. These diplomatic and jurisdictional barriers shape trader assessments of near-term arrest risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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