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UN predictions & odds

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Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

6%

$75.6K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

52%

Rafael Grossi

$57.6K Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

5

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

48%

Iran

$2M Vol.

$1M today

$160K Liq.

335

Ends in about 3 hours

2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

94%

Choo Mi-ae

$4M Vol.

$498K Liq.

10

Ends in 19 days

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

95%

Elon Musk

$626K Vol.

$150K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

44%

Petro - Colombia President

$283K Vol.

$261K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

89%

Giorgia Meloni

$479K Vol.

$129K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Who will Trump meet with in May?

100%

Elon Musk

$355K Vol.

$70.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Anime Awards: Best Anime Ending Sequence Winner

Anime Awards: Best Anime Ending Sequence Winner

38%

"I" by BUMP OF CHICKEN (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON)

$747 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

31%

JV

$73.1K Vol.

$41.7K Liq.

6

Ends in 5 months

Next Manchester United manager?

Next Manchester United manager?

98%

Michael Carrick

$859K Vol.

$53.3K Liq.

241

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$32.1K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$31.8K Vol.

LoL: Maryville University vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

LoL: Maryville University vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

94%

Maryville University

$13.4K Vol.

$120K Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

Newcastle United FC vs. PSV - More Markets

Newcastle United FC vs. PSV - More Markets

-

$357K Vol.

New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United FC

New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United FC

45%

New England Revolution

$6.6K Vol.

$658K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC

Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC

46%

Newcastle United FC

$12.0K Vol.

$2M Liq.

Ends in 3 days

France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

57%

Canceled

$50.4K Vol.

$95.7K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC

Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC

61%

Manchester United FC

$23.6K Vol.

$2M Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC

Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC

42%

Adelaide United FC

$4.4K Vol.

$337K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like UN.

Polymarket currently hosts 374 active markets for UN that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to Choo Mi-ae. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on UN predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.