Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General as the process to succeed António Guterres on 1 January 2027 remains fluid following the Security Council’s informal straw polls. Grynspan, Costa Rica’s former vice president and head of UNCTAD, topped the first July 2026 poll with the broadest “encourage” support among the eight nominated candidates, reflecting her multilateral track record including the Black Sea Grain Initiative. Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett of Guyana edged ahead in the August poll, while Rafael Grossi of Argentina and María Fernanda Espinosa of Ecuador maintain notable backing; the remaining candidates trail significantly. Regional dynamics within GRULAC, the absence of a woman in the role since 1945, and the requirement for nine Security Council votes without a permanent-member veto continue to shape positioning ahead of further rounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rebeca Grynspan 36%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 18.0%
Rafael Grossi 14%
María Fernanda Espinosa 12.6%
$194,169 Vol.
$194,169 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
36%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
18%
Rafael Grossi
14%
María Fernanda Espinosa
13%
Macky Sall
6%
Michelle Bachelet
3%
Olara Otunnu
1%
Ivonne de Baki
1%
Rebeca Grynspan 36%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 18.0%
Rafael Grossi 14%
María Fernanda Espinosa 12.6%
$194,169 Vol.
$194,169 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
$18,386 Vol.
36%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
$3,629 Vol.
18%
Rafael Grossi
$26,833 Vol.
14%
María Fernanda Espinosa
$7,255 Vol.
13%
Macky Sall
$120,820 Vol.
6%
Michelle Bachelet
$11,952 Vol.
3%
Olara Otunnu
$2,927 Vol.
1%
Ivonne de Baki
$2,368 Vol.
1%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General as the process to succeed António Guterres on 1 January 2027 remains fluid following the Security Council’s informal straw polls. Grynspan, Costa Rica’s former vice president and head of UNCTAD, topped the first July 2026 poll with the broadest “encourage” support among the eight nominated candidates, reflecting her multilateral track record including the Black Sea Grain Initiative. Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett of Guyana edged ahead in the August poll, while Rafael Grossi of Argentina and María Fernanda Espinosa of Ecuador maintain notable backing; the remaining candidates trail significantly. Regional dynamics within GRULAC, the absence of a woman in the role since 1945, and the requirement for nine Security Council votes without a permanent-member veto continue to shape positioning ahead of further rounds.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Volume
$194,169End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General as the process to succeed António Guterres on 1 January 2027 remains fluid following the Security Council’s informal straw polls. Grynspan, Costa Rica’s former vice president and head of UNCTAD, topped the first July 2026 poll with the broadest “encourage” support among the eight nominated candidates, reflecting her multilateral track record including the Black Sea Grain Initiative. Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett of Guyana edged ahead in the August poll, while Rafael Grossi of Argentina and María Fernanda Espinosa of Ecuador maintain notable backing; the remaining candidates trail significantly. Regional dynamics within GRULAC, the absence of a woman in the role since 1945, and the requirement for nine Security Council votes without a permanent-member veto continue to shape positioning ahead of further rounds.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$194,169End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General as the process to succeed António Guterres on 1 January 2027 remains fluid following the Security Council’s informal straw polls. Grynspan, Costa Rica’s former vice president and head of UNCTAD, topped the first July 2026 poll with the broadest “encourage” support among the eight nominated candidates, reflecting her multilateral track record including the Black Sea Grain Initiative. Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett of Guyana edged ahead in the August poll, while Rafael Grossi of Argentina and María Fernanda Espinosa of Ecuador maintain notable backing; the remaining candidates trail significantly. Regional dynamics within GRULAC, the absence of a woman in the role since 1945, and the requirement for nine Security Council votes without a permanent-member veto continue to shape positioning ahead of further rounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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