**Guterres’ second five-year term as UN Secretary-General ends on December 31, 2026, with the successor scheduled to assume office on January 1, 2027.** The formal selection process, launched in November 2025, includes candidate nominations, interactive dialogues, and Security Council straw polls; the second such poll occurred on August 21, 2026, without any candidate securing the required nine votes. No public statements, announcements, or credible reporting indicate an early resignation, removal, or term extension. Recent coverage consistently describes Guterres as completing his mandate at year-end while the Council advances confidential deliberations among the eight nominated candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% “No” price aligns with this timeline and the absence of disruptive events that would force an earlier departure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAntónio Guterres out by December 31?
António Guterres out by December 31?
26% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2026
26% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Guterres’ second five-year term as UN Secretary-General ends on December 31, 2026, with the successor scheduled to assume office on January 1, 2027.** The formal selection process, launched in November 2025, includes candidate nominations, interactive dialogues, and Security Council straw polls; the second such poll occurred on August 21, 2026, without any candidate securing the required nine votes.
No public statements, announcements, or credible reporting indicate an early resignation, removal, or term extension. Recent coverage consistently describes Guterres as completing his mandate at year-end while the Council advances confidential deliberations among the eight nominated candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% “No” price aligns with this timeline and the absence of disruptive events that would force an earlier departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Volume
$2,313End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Guterres’ second five-year term as UN Secretary-General ends on December 31, 2026, with the successor scheduled to assume office on January 1, 2027.** The formal selection process, launched in November 2025, includes candidate nominations, interactive dialogues, and Security Council straw polls; the second such poll occurred on August 21, 2026, without any candidate securing the required nine votes.
No public statements, announcements, or credible reporting indicate an early resignation, removal, or term extension. Recent coverage consistently describes Guterres as completing his mandate at year-end while the Council advances confidential deliberations among the eight nominated candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% “No” price aligns with this timeline and the absence of disruptive events that would force an earlier departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,313End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Guterres’ second five-year term as UN Secretary-General ends on December 31, 2026, with the successor scheduled to assume office on January 1, 2027.** The formal selection process, launched in November 2025, includes candidate nominations, interactive dialogues, and Security Council straw polls; the second such poll occurred on August 21, 2026, without any candidate securing the required nine votes. No public statements, announcements, or credible reporting indicate an early resignation, removal, or term extension. Recent coverage consistently describes Guterres as completing his mandate at year-end while the Council advances confidential deliberations among the eight nominated candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% “No” price aligns with this timeline and the absence of disruptive events that would force an earlier departure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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