North Korea’s Supreme People’s Assembly reelected Kim Jong Un as president of the State Affairs Commission in September 2026, while recent Workers’ Party rule revisions explicitly expanded his authority over appointments, party bodies, and wartime decisions, removing references to prior leaders and reinforcing centralized control. These moves, alongside ongoing military modernization and diplomatic engagement with China and Russia, have sustained regime stability with no verified reports of internal challenges or health concerns that could prompt a leadership change before the end of the year. Trader consensus at 96% against removal by December 31, 2026, reflects this entrenched position, though low-probability shifts could still arise from an abrupt succession event, sudden medical development, or unforeseen elite realignment within the tightly controlled system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
4% chance
$196,770 Vol.
$196,770 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% chance
$196,770 Vol.
$196,770 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.North Korea’s Supreme People’s Assembly reelected Kim Jong Un as president of the State Affairs Commission in September 2026, while recent Workers’ Party rule revisions explicitly expanded his authority over appointments, party bodies, and wartime decisions, removing references to prior leaders and reinforcing centralized control. These moves, alongside ongoing military modernization and diplomatic engagement with China and Russia, have sustained regime stability with no verified reports of internal challenges or health concerns that could prompt a leadership change before the end of the year. Trader consensus at 96% against removal by December 31, 2026, reflects this entrenched position, though low-probability shifts could still arise from an abrupt succession event, sudden medical development, or unforeseen elite realignment within the tightly controlled system.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET
Volume
$196,770End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.North Korea’s Supreme People’s Assembly reelected Kim Jong Un as president of the State Affairs Commission in September 2026, while recent Workers’ Party rule revisions explicitly expanded his authority over appointments, party bodies, and wartime decisions, removing references to prior leaders and reinforcing centralized control. These moves, alongside ongoing military modernization and diplomatic engagement with China and Russia, have sustained regime stability with no verified reports of internal challenges or health concerns that could prompt a leadership change before the end of the year. Trader consensus at 96% against removal by December 31, 2026, reflects this entrenched position, though low-probability shifts could still arise from an abrupt succession event, sudden medical development, or unforeseen elite realignment within the tightly controlled system.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$196,770End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...North Korea’s Supreme People’s Assembly reelected Kim Jong Un as president of the State Affairs Commission in September 2026, while recent Workers’ Party rule revisions explicitly expanded his authority over appointments, party bodies, and wartime decisions, removing references to prior leaders and reinforcing centralized control. These moves, alongside ongoing military modernization and diplomatic engagement with China and Russia, have sustained regime stability with no verified reports of internal challenges or health concerns that could prompt a leadership change before the end of the year. Trader consensus at 96% against removal by December 31, 2026, reflects this entrenched position, though low-probability shifts could still arise from an abrupt succession event, sudden medical development, or unforeseen elite realignment within the tightly controlled system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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