Recent constitutional revisions in May 2026 explicitly named Kim Jong Un head of nuclear forces and head of state, reinforcing his institutional authority amid ongoing public addresses on economic plans and military priorities. State media coverage of his reappointment to the State Affairs Commission and joint appearances with military officials show no signs of internal challenge or transition pressure. Speculation centers on long-term succession grooming for his daughter rather than any immediate removal. While health developments or elite realignments could theoretically alter outcomes before year-end, current verifiable actions point to sustained control, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% probability assigned to the "No" outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$75,600 Vol.
$75,600 Vol.
$75,600 Vol.
$75,600 Vol.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent constitutional revisions in May 2026 explicitly named Kim Jong Un head of nuclear forces and head of state, reinforcing his institutional authority amid ongoing public addresses on economic plans and military priorities. State media coverage of his reappointment to the State Affairs Commission and joint appearances with military officials show no signs of internal challenge or transition pressure. Speculation centers on long-term succession grooming for his daughter rather than any immediate removal. While health developments or elite realignments could theoretically alter outcomes before year-end, current verifiable actions point to sustained control, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% probability assigned to the "No" outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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