Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, including a June 2026 memorandum of understanding on hostilities and nuclear talks, have triggered congressional oversight under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, with lawmakers from both parties demanding text review, a formal vote, and strict conditions such as full dismantlement of enrichment capabilities. Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton have publicly stated that durable approval would require addressing missiles and terrorism alongside nuclear issues, while ongoing military funding measures and war powers resolutions highlight divided support for the administration's approach. These procedural and substantive barriers, coupled with partisan divisions in a Republican-led Congress, underpin the 86% trader-implied probability against approval this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
$12,347 Vol.
$12,347 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
$12,347 Vol.
$12,347 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, including a June 2026 memorandum of understanding on hostilities and nuclear talks, have triggered congressional oversight under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, with lawmakers from both parties demanding text review, a formal vote, and strict conditions such as full dismantlement of enrichment capabilities. Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton have publicly stated that durable approval would require addressing missiles and terrorism alongside nuclear issues, while ongoing military funding measures and war powers resolutions highlight divided support for the administration's approach. These procedural and substantive barriers, coupled with partisan divisions in a Republican-led Congress, underpin the 86% trader-implied probability against approval this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Volume
$12,347End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, including a June 2026 memorandum of understanding on hostilities and nuclear talks, have triggered congressional oversight under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, with lawmakers from both parties demanding text review, a formal vote, and strict conditions such as full dismantlement of enrichment capabilities. Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton have publicly stated that durable approval would require addressing missiles and terrorism alongside nuclear issues, while ongoing military funding measures and war powers resolutions highlight divided support for the administration's approach. These procedural and substantive barriers, coupled with partisan divisions in a Republican-led Congress, underpin the 86% trader-implied probability against approval this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,347End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, including a June 2026 memorandum of understanding on hostilities and nuclear talks, have triggered congressional oversight under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, with lawmakers from both parties demanding text review, a formal vote, and strict conditions such as full dismantlement of enrichment capabilities. Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton have publicly stated that durable approval would require addressing missiles and terrorism alongside nuclear issues, while ongoing military funding measures and war powers resolutions highlight divided support for the administration's approach. These procedural and substantive barriers, coupled with partisan divisions in a Republican-led Congress, underpin the 86% trader-implied probability against approval this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions