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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$11m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
14%
$8m Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…?
January 15
5%
January 31
37%
$2m Vol.
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by...?
January 11
January 17
93%
$38k Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
45%
$6m Vol.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
47%
$73k Vol.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
31%
$25k Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
13%
$120k Vol.
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
January 31, 2026
22%
February 28, 2026
60%
$4m Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
17%
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?
$83k Vol.
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
9%
March 31
36%
$944k Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
23%
February 28
52%
$138k Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
1%
10%
$967k Vol.
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
$1m Vol.
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
6%
$184k Vol.
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
$26k Vol.
Nuclear weapon detonation by...?
June 30
8%
$169k Vol.
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
39%
72%
$110k Vol.
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?
30%
$81k Vol.
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