The stalled momentum following the unsuccessful August 2025 Anchorage summit, which produced no Ukraine peace framework despite direct Trump-Putin engagement, has driven the dominant trader consensus that no additional meeting will occur by December 31. Ongoing battlefield escalation, failed follow-up diplomacy including recent U.S.-Russia calls and prisoner releases without broader breakthroughs, and structural barriers from the conflict continue to limit near-term summit prospects. Among specific venues, China holds the clearest edge as traders weigh its potential role in multilateral or bilateral formats amid limited alternatives. Other locations face low implied probabilities due to unresolved tensions, logistical hurdles, and lack of confirmed diplomatic signals within the remaining timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 64%
China 32%
Russia 1.9%
Gulf country 1.2%
$413,463 Vol.
$413,463 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
64%
China
32%
Russia
2%
Gulf country
1%
United States
1%
Other
1%
Switzerland
1%
Other EU country
<1%
Turkey
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Finland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 64%
China 32%
Russia 1.9%
Gulf country 1.2%
$413,463 Vol.
$413,463 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$80,205 Vol.
64%
China
$50,864 Vol.
32%
Russia
$64,132 Vol.
2%
Gulf country
$14,950 Vol.
1%
United States
$18,452 Vol.
1%
Other
$15,599 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$18,179 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$13,538 Vol.
<1%
Turkey
$20,557 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$13,523 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$16,181 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$12,754 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$15,620 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$20,433 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$38,475 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The stalled momentum following the unsuccessful August 2025 Anchorage summit, which produced no Ukraine peace framework despite direct Trump-Putin engagement, has driven the dominant trader consensus that no additional meeting will occur by December 31. Ongoing battlefield escalation, failed follow-up diplomacy including recent U.S.-Russia calls and prisoner releases without broader breakthroughs, and structural barriers from the conflict continue to limit near-term summit prospects. Among specific venues, China holds the clearest edge as traders weigh its potential role in multilateral or bilateral formats amid limited alternatives. Other locations face low implied probabilities due to unresolved tensions, logistical hurdles, and lack of confirmed diplomatic signals within the remaining timeline.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$413,463End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The stalled momentum following the unsuccessful August 2025 Anchorage summit, which produced no Ukraine peace framework despite direct Trump-Putin engagement, has driven the dominant trader consensus that no additional meeting will occur by December 31. Ongoing battlefield escalation, failed follow-up diplomacy including recent U.S.-Russia calls and prisoner releases without broader breakthroughs, and structural barriers from the conflict continue to limit near-term summit prospects. Among specific venues, China holds the clearest edge as traders weigh its potential role in multilateral or bilateral formats amid limited alternatives. Other locations face low implied probabilities due to unresolved tensions, logistical hurdles, and lack of confirmed diplomatic signals within the remaining timeline.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$413,463End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The stalled momentum following the unsuccessful August 2025 Anchorage summit, which produced no Ukraine peace framework despite direct Trump-Putin engagement, has driven the dominant trader consensus that no additional meeting will occur by December 31. Ongoing battlefield escalation, failed follow-up diplomacy including recent U.S.-Russia calls and prisoner releases without broader breakthroughs, and structural barriers from the conflict continue to limit near-term summit prospects. Among specific venues, China holds the clearest edge as traders weigh its potential role in multilateral or bilateral formats amid limited alternatives. Other locations face low implied probabilities due to unresolved tensions, logistical hurdles, and lack of confirmed diplomatic signals within the remaining timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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