Putin maintains firm control over Russia’s personalist system as of November 2026, with approval ratings holding at 71-77% across major pollsters and United Russia securing a record supermajority in the September legislative elections. Recent government reshuffles have further centralized authority by curtailing potential rivals such as Prime Minister Mishustin, while ongoing U.S.-mediated talks in Abu Dhabi show Moscow adhering to maximalist demands on Ukraine without domestic concessions. Analysts highlight the absence of organized opposition, elite consensus on continuity, and constitutional provisions allowing extended tenure through 2030 or beyond as key structural barriers. No verified health events, elite defections, or mass protests have altered this positioning in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1H6H1D7D30DALL
View resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions