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Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
32%
chance
Yes
No
$7m Vol.
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
January 10
2%
January 12
79%
$1m Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
15%
$883k Vol.
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
67%
January 13
77%
$906k Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
54%
$958k Vol.
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
January 31
28%
March 31, 2026
50%
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?
82%
March 31
90%
$203k Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
65%
$190k Vol.
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
16%
$237k Vol.
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
18%
$37k Vol.
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
21%
$38k Vol.
Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?
8%
$21k Vol.
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
June 30
31%
$4m Vol.
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?
13%
$13k Vol.
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
53%
$56k Vol.
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
$39k Vol.
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
12%
$2k Vol.
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Oman
33%
Kuwait
26%
$10k Vol.
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
22%
December 31
57%
$72 Vol.
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
$833 Vol.
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