**US officials have repeatedly and explicitly ruled out deploying American troops into Gaza itself, with Pentagon and CENTCOM statements throughout 2025–2026 affirming that the roughly 200 US service members supporting the ceasefire operate exclusively from a coordination center in southern Israel.** These personnel facilitate humanitarian aid, logistics, and monitoring alongside international partners but do not enter Gaza territory. The Trump administration’s Gaza stabilization efforts instead center on funding and planning for an International Stabilization Force composed of troops from countries such as Indonesia, Morocco, and others, with US involvement limited to coordination, equipment support, and a proposed logistics hub on the Israeli side of the border. Progress on that multinational force has stalled amid ongoing disagreements over Hamas disarmament, Israeli withdrawal timelines, and the aftermath of the US-Israel-Iran conflict, leaving no verified deployments or policy shifts that would place US forces inside Gaza before the end of 2026. Recent congressional notifications for ISF funding and continued emphasis on non-US security arrangements reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability for “No.”