Persistent security risks and stalled implementation of the U.S.-brokered Gaza roadmap explain the overwhelming trader consensus against a Trump visit in 2026. Israeli strikes have continued into September, the humanitarian situation remains acute with widespread displacement and infrastructure collapse, and Phase Two elements such as full Hamas disarmament, National Committee for the Administration of Gaza governance, and international stabilization force deployment have not advanced. Trump has voiced interest in touring the territory during reconstruction and traveled to Israel and Egypt for related summits, yet no itinerary or security conditions permitting entry have materialized. Late-year diplomatic breakthroughs or rapid stabilization could theoretically open a narrow window, but current conditions make such developments improbable before December 31.