Mahmoud Abbas, the long-serving Palestinian Authority president since 2005, remains in office at age 90 despite his term expiring years ago. Recent steps toward an orderly transition include the 2025 creation of a vice presidency and appointment of Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor, followed by Abbas's May 2026 unanimous re-election as Fatah leader and pledges for reform. In June and July 2026 he issued decrees scheduling legislative elections for November 2026 and presidential voting for early 2027, reviving a process stalled for two decades. His January 2026 hospitalization for routine checks and broader internal pressure for generational change continue to shape expectations around the timing of any departure, while historical delays in Palestinian elections introduce uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
$136,200 Vol.
December 31
14%
$136,200 Vol.
December 31
14%
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mahmoud Abbas, the long-serving Palestinian Authority president since 2005, remains in office at age 90 despite his term expiring years ago. Recent steps toward an orderly transition include the 2025 creation of a vice presidency and appointment of Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor, followed by Abbas's May 2026 unanimous re-election as Fatah leader and pledges for reform. In June and July 2026 he issued decrees scheduling legislative elections for November 2026 and presidential voting for early 2027, reviving a process stalled for two decades. His January 2026 hospitalization for routine checks and broader internal pressure for generational change continue to shape expectations around the timing of any departure, while historical delays in Palestinian elections introduce uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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